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Photo: Original uploader was ShattaAD at en.wikipedia
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England tour of West Indies · 2024/25 · Men
31 Oct 2024 · ODI
Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, Antigua · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Philip Saltcaught · Alzarri Joseph · Jayden Seales3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alzarri Joseph · b Jayden Seales | 18 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 62.07 |
 Will Jackscaught · Gudakesh Motie · Jayden Seales2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gudakesh Motie · b Jayden Seales | 19 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 70.37 |
| Jordan Coxcaught · Keacy Carty · Matthew Forde 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Keacy Carty · b Matthew Forde | 17 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 54.84 |
| Jacob Bethellcaught · Brandon King · Matthew Forde 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brandon King · b Matthew Forde | 27 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 81.82 |
| caught and bowled · b Gudakesh Motie |
| 48 |
| 49 |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| 97.96 |
 Sam Currancaught · Shimron Hetmyer · Gudakesh Motie2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shimron Hetmyer · b Gudakesh Motie | 37 | 56 | 2 | 0 | 66.07 |
|---|
| Dan Mousleycaught · Evin Lewis · Gudakesh Motie 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Evin Lewis · b Gudakesh Motie | 8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Jamie Overtonlbw · Gudakesh Motie0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Gudakesh Motie | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Adil Rashidcaught · Matthew Forde · Alzarri Joseph2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Forde · b Alzarri Joseph | 15 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 78.95 |
|---|
 Jofra Archercaught · Shai Hope · Alzarri Joseph1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shai Hope · b Alzarri Joseph | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 70.00 |
|---|
| John Turnernot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 5 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Forde0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 48 | 2 | 5.33 | 3 | 0 |
| Jayden Seales1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 22 | 2 | 2.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Alzarri Joseph0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 8.1 | 0 | 46 | 2 | 5.63 | 0 | 1 |
| Gudakesh Motie0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 41 | 4 | 4.10 | 0 | 0 |
 Roston Chase0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 4.70 | 1 | 0 |
1-39 (Philip Salt, 8.1) · 2-46 (Will Jacks, 10.3) · 3-86 (Jordan Cox, 19.0) · 4-93 (Jacob Bethell, 20.5) · 5-165 (Liam Livingstone, 34.5) · 6-179 (Dan Mousley, 38.2) · 7-179 (Jamie Overton, 38.3) · 8-187 (Sam Curran, 40.1) · 9-204 (Jofra Archer, 43.2) · 10-209 (Adil Rashid, 45.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 17/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 19/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 20/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 22/0 |
| 7 | 8 | 30/0 |
| 8 | 9 | 39/0 |
| 9 | 1 | 40/1 |
| 10 | 6 | 46/1 |
| 11 | 0 | 46/2 |
| 12 | 6 | 52/2 |
| 13 | 7 | 59/2 |
| 14 | 13 | 72/2 |
| 15 | 2 | 74/2 |
| 16 | 5 | 79/2 |
| 17 | 4 | 83/2 |
| 18 | 2 | 85/2 |
| 19 | 1 | 86/3 |
| 20 | 3 | 89/3 |
| 21 | 5 | 94/4 |
| 22 | 3 | 97/4 |
| 23 | 7 | 104/4 |
| 24 | 2 | 106/4 |
| 25 | 1 | 107/4 |
| 26 | 4 | 111/4 |
| 27 | 7 | 118/4 |
| 28 | 4 | 122/4 |
| 29 | 4 | 126/4 |
| 30 | 4 | 130/4 |
| 31 | 7 | 137/4 |
| 32 | 7 | 144/4 |
| 33 | 3 | 147/4 |
| 34 | 13 | 160/4 |
| 35 | 5 | 165/5 |
| 36 | 3 | 168/5 |
| 37 | 4 | 172/5 |
| 38 | 5 | 177/5 |
| 39 | 4 | 181/7 |
| 40 | 6 | 187/7 |
| 41 | 1 | 188/8 |
| 42 | 3 | 191/8 |
| 43 | 9 | 200/8 |
| 44 | 6 | 206/9 |
| 45 | 3 | 209/9 |
| 46 | 0 | 209/10 |
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jofra Archer: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Philip Salt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adil Rashid: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Shimron Hetmyer: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
_(Archer_cropped).jpg){kind=link}
_-_Sam_Curran_(cropped).jpg){kind=link}
