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Pakistan tour of Bangladesh · 2026 · Men
8 May 2026 · Test
Shere Bangla National Stadium, Mirpur · Venue photographRecorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mahmudul Hasan Joycaught · Mohammad Rizwan · Shaheen Afridi2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Shaheen Afridi | 8 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 42.11 |
| Shadman Islamcaught · Salman Ali Agha · Hasan Ali 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Salman Ali Agha · b Hasan Ali | 13 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 43.33 |
 Mominul Haquelbw · Nauman Ali10 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Nauman Ali | 91 | 200 | 10 | 0 | 45.50 |
 |
| lbw · b Mohammad Abbas |
| 101 |
| 130 |
| 12 |
| 2 |
| 77.69 |
 Mushfiqur Rahimbowled · Shaheen Afridi8 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shaheen Afridi | 71 | 179 | 8 | 0 | 39.66 |
|---|
 Litton Dascaught · Amad Butt · Mohammad Abbas5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amad Butt · b Mohammad Abbas | 33 | 67 | 5 | 0 | 49.25 |
|---|
 Mehedi Hasancaught · Imam-ul-Haq · Mohammad Abbas1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Imam-ul-Haq · b Mohammad Abbas | 10 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 83.33 |
|---|
 Taijul Islamcaught · Mohammad Rizwan · Mohammad Abbas2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Mohammad Abbas | 17 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 73.91 |
|---|
| Ebadat Hossaincaught · Mohammad Rizwan · Mohammad Abbas 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Mohammad Abbas | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Taskin Ahmedcaught · Saud Shakeel · Shaheen Afridi3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Saud Shakeel · b Shaheen Afridi | 28 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 147.37 |
|---|
 Nahid Rananot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 23 | 0 | 0 | 17.39 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 20 · legbyes: 8 · wides: 0 · noballs: 9 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shaheen Afridi8 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 31.1 | 8 | 113 | 3 | 3.63 | 0 | 0 |
 Mohammad Abbas8 maidens · 0 wides · 3 no-balls | 34.0 | 8 | 92 | 5 | 2.71 | 0 | 3 |
 Hasan Ali5 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 26.0 | 5 | 75 | 1 | 2.88 | 0 | 0 |
| Salman Ali Agha0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 4.17 | 0 | 0 |
| Nauman Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 6 no-balls | 20.0 | 0 | 80 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 6 |
1-18 (Mahmudul Hasan Joy, 6.1) · 2-31 (Shadman Islam, 10.1) · 3-201 (Najmul Hossain Shanto, 52.2) · 4-276 (Mominul Haque, 73.3) · 5-338 (Litton Das, 96.4) · 6-354 (Mehedi Hasan, 100.4) · 7-378 (Taijul Islam, 106.5) · 8-380 (Mushfiqur Rahim, 109.3) · 9-384 (Ebadat Hossain, 110.5) · 10-413 (Taskin Ahmed, 117.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 10/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 14/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 18/0 |
| 6 | 0 | 18/0 |
| 7 | 5 | 23/1 |
| 8 | 0 | 23/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 29/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 31/1 |
| 11 | 5 | 36/2 |
| 12 | 1 | 37/2 |
| 13 | 1 | 38/2 |
| 14 | 4 | 42/2 |
| 15 | 3 | 45/2 |
| 16 | 0 | 45/2 |
| 17 | 5 | 50/2 |
| 18 | 9 | 59/2 |
| 19 | 6 | 65/2 |
| 20 | 9 | 74/2 |
| 21 | 4 | 78/2 |
| 22 | 5 | 83/2 |
| 23 | 4 | 87/2 |
| 24 | 0 | 87/2 |
| 25 | 9 | 96/2 |
| 26 | 5 | 101/2 |
| 27 | 0 | 101/2 |
| 28 | 0 | 101/2 |
| 29 | 3 | 104/2 |
| 30 | 6 | 110/2 |
| 31 | 4 | 114/2 |
| 32 | 3 | 117/2 |
| 33 | 8 | 125/2 |
| 34 | 3 | 128/2 |
| 35 | 4 | 132/2 |
| 36 | 2 | 134/2 |
| 37 | 5 | 139/2 |
| 38 | 5 | 144/2 |
| 39 | 1 | 145/2 |
| 40 | 3 | 148/2 |
| 41 | 9 | 157/2 |
| 42 | 7 | 164/2 |
| 43 | 0 | 164/2 |
| 44 | 5 | 169/2 |
| 45 | 2 | 171/2 |
| 46 | 7 | 178/2 |
| 47 | 4 | 182/2 |
| 48 | 1 | 183/2 |
| 49 | 6 | 189/2 |
| 50 | 6 | 195/2 |
| 51 | 0 | 195/2 |
| 52 | 2 | 197/2 |
| 53 | 4 | 201/3 |
| 54 | 6 | 207/3 |
| 55 | 6 | 213/3 |
| 56 | 6 | 219/3 |
| 57 | 0 | 219/3 |
| 58 | 10 | 229/3 |
| 59 | 0 | 229/3 |
| 60 | 1 | 230/3 |
| 61 | 9 | 239/3 |
| 62 | 5 | 244/3 |
| 63 | 0 | 244/3 |
| 64 | 3 | 247/3 |
| 65 | 3 | 250/3 |
| 66 | 5 | 255/3 |
| 67 | 0 | 255/3 |
| 68 | 2 | 257/3 |
| 69 | 2 | 259/3 |
| 70 | 2 | 261/3 |
| 71 | 4 | 265/3 |
| 72 | 4 | 269/3 |
| 73 | 5 | 274/3 |
| 74 | 3 | 277/4 |
| 75 | 0 | 277/4 |
| 76 | 5 | 282/4 |
| 77 | 1 | 283/4 |
| 78 | 3 | 286/4 |
| 79 | 4 | 290/4 |
| 80 | 1 | 291/4 |
| 81 | 1 | 292/4 |
| 82 | 1 | 293/4 |
| 83 | 1 | 294/4 |
| 84 | 7 | 301/4 |
| 85 | 0 | 301/4 |
| 86 | 1 | 302/4 |
| 87 | 12 | 314/4 |
| 88 | 1 | 315/4 |
| 89 | 2 | 317/4 |
| 90 | 4 | 321/4 |
| 91 | 5 | 326/4 |
| 92 | 0 | 326/4 |
| 93 | 2 | 328/4 |
| 94 | 0 | 328/4 |
| 95 | 2 | 330/4 |
| 96 | 6 | 336/4 |
| 97 | 2 | 338/5 |
| 98 | 6 | 344/5 |
| 99 | 4 | 348/5 |
| 100 | 0 | 348/5 |
| 101 | 6 | 354/6 |
| 102 | 7 | 361/6 |
| 103 | 2 | 363/6 |
| 104 | 1 | 364/6 |
| 105 | 3 | 367/6 |
| 106 | 11 | 378/6 |
| 107 | 0 | 378/7 |
| 108 | 1 | 379/7 |
| 109 | 1 | 380/7 |
| 110 | 4 | 384/8 |
| 111 | 1 | 385/9 |
| 112 | 0 | 385/9 |
| 113 | 6 | 391/9 |
| 114 | 0 | 391/9 |
| 115 | 12 | 403/9 |
| 116 | 7 | 410/9 |
| 117 | 3 | 413/9 |
| 118 | 0 | 413/10 |
Imam-ul-Haq: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Abbas: Dave Morton · Public domain
Nahid Rana: Press Information Department · Public domain
Shaheen Afridi: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Mahmudul Hasan Joy: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mominul Haque: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Taijul Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Taskin Ahmed: Mahbub Ali Zaki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mushfiqur Rahim: Rasi56 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mehedi Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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