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Photo: Ranadipam Basu
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
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Pakistan tour of Bangladesh · 2026 · Men
8 May 2026 · Test
Shere Bangla National Stadium, Mirpur · Venue photographRecorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azan Awaiscaught · Najmul Hossain Shanto · Taskin Ahmed 14 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Najmul Hossain Shanto · b Taskin Ahmed | 103 | 165 | 14 | 0 | 62.42 |
 Imam-ul-Haqlbw · Mehedi Hasan6 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mehedi Hasan | 45 | 72 | 6 | 0 | 62.50 |
| Abdullah Fazalcaught · Taijul Islam · Mehedi Hasan 7 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Taijul Islam · b Mehedi Hasan | 60 | 120 | 7 | 1 | 50.00 |
 Shan Masoodcaught · Shadman Islam · Taskin Ahmed2 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Shadman Islam · b Taskin Ahmed |
| 9 |
| 17 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 52.94 |
 Saud Shakeellbw · Mehedi Hasan0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mehedi Hasan | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Salman Ali Aghacaught · Najmul Hossain Shanto · Nahid Rana 6 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Najmul Hossain Shanto · b Nahid Rana | 58 | 94 | 6 | 1 | 61.70 |
|---|
 Mohammad Rizwancaught · Mahmudul Hasan Joy · Taijul Islam8 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mahmudul Hasan Joy · b Taijul Islam | 59 | 79 | 8 | 0 | 74.68 |
|---|
| Nauman Alicaught · Najmul Hossain Shanto · Mehedi Hasan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Najmul Hossain Shanto · b Mehedi Hasan | 2 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 6.90 |
|---|
 Shaheen Afridicaught · Mominul Haque · Mehedi Hasan2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mominul Haque · b Mehedi Hasan | 13 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 76.47 |
|---|
 Hasan Alibowled · Taijul Islam1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Taijul Islam | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
 Mohammad Abbasnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 8 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 6 · noballs: 9 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Taskin Ahmed1 maidens · 0 wides · 3 no-balls | 18.0 | 1 | 70 | 2 | 3.89 | 0 | 3 |
| Ebadat Hossain2 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 12.0 | 2 | 54 | 0 | 4.50 | 0 | 2 |
 Nahid Rana2 maidens · 6 wides · 4 no-balls | 21.0 | 2 | 104 | 1 | 4.95 | 6 | 4 |
 Mehedi Hasan5 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 38.0 | 5 | 102 | 5 | 2.68 | 0 | 0 |
 Taijul Islam0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.3 | 0 | 46 | 2 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-106 (Imam-ul-Haq, 22.0) · 2-210 (Azan Awais, 54.4) · 3-226 (Shan Masood, 59.0) · 4-227 (Saud Shakeel, 60.0) · 5-230 (Abdullah Fazal, 63.4) · 6-349 (Mohammad Rizwan, 89.4) · 7-353 (Salman Ali Agha, 92.1) · 8-372 (Nauman Ali, 97.4) · 9-374 (Shaheen Afridi, 99.1) · 10-386 (Hasan Ali, 100.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 15/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 19/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 26/0 |
| 6 | 0 | 26/0 |
| 7 | 10 | 36/0 |
| 8 | 5 | 41/0 |
| 9 | 0 | 41/0 |
| 10 | 9 | 50/0 |
| 11 | 10 | 60/0 |
| 12 | 6 | 66/0 |
| 13 | 5 | 71/0 |
| 14 | 3 | 74/0 |
| 15 | 2 | 76/0 |
| 16 | 0 | 76/0 |
| 17 | 3 | 79/0 |
| 18 | 5 | 84/0 |
| 19 | 2 | 86/0 |
| 20 | 3 | 89/0 |
| 21 | 15 | 104/0 |
| 22 | 2 | 106/1 |
| 23 | 1 | 107/1 |
| 24 | 1 | 108/1 |
| 25 | 1 | 109/1 |
| 26 | 1 | 110/1 |
| 27 | 5 | 115/1 |
| 28 | 3 | 118/1 |
| 29 | 12 | 130/1 |
| 30 | 4 | 134/1 |
| 31 | 1 | 135/1 |
| 32 | 1 | 136/1 |
| 33 | 2 | 138/1 |
| 34 | 4 | 142/1 |
| 35 | 6 | 148/1 |
| 36 | 0 | 148/1 |
| 37 | 2 | 150/1 |
| 38 | 5 | 155/1 |
| 39 | 1 | 156/1 |
| 40 | 1 | 157/1 |
| 41 | 5 | 162/1 |
| 42 | 3 | 165/1 |
| 43 | 3 | 168/1 |
| 44 | 1 | 169/1 |
| 45 | 7 | 176/1 |
| 46 | 3 | 179/1 |
| 47 | 1 | 180/1 |
| 48 | 5 | 185/1 |
| 49 | 5 | 190/1 |
| 50 | 2 | 192/1 |
| 51 | 8 | 200/1 |
| 52 | 1 | 201/1 |
| 53 | 6 | 207/1 |
| 54 | 3 | 210/1 |
| 55 | 1 | 211/2 |
| 56 | 4 | 215/2 |
| 57 | 5 | 220/2 |
| 58 | 6 | 226/2 |
| 59 | 0 | 226/3 |
| 60 | 1 | 227/4 |
| 61 | 1 | 228/4 |
| 62 | 1 | 229/4 |
| 63 | 1 | 230/4 |
| 64 | 0 | 230/5 |
| 65 | 7 | 237/5 |
| 66 | 0 | 237/5 |
| 67 | 2 | 239/5 |
| 68 | 1 | 240/5 |
| 69 | 6 | 246/5 |
| 70 | 5 | 251/5 |
| 71 | 0 | 251/5 |
| 72 | 5 | 256/5 |
| 73 | 8 | 264/5 |
| 74 | 5 | 269/5 |
| 75 | 10 | 279/5 |
| 76 | 8 | 287/5 |
| 77 | 2 | 289/5 |
| 78 | 8 | 297/5 |
| 79 | 7 | 304/5 |
| 80 | 2 | 306/5 |
| 81 | 2 | 308/5 |
| 82 | 2 | 310/5 |
| 83 | 5 | 315/5 |
| 84 | 7 | 322/5 |
| 85 | 6 | 328/5 |
| 86 | 3 | 331/5 |
| 87 | 13 | 344/5 |
| 88 | 2 | 346/5 |
| 89 | 0 | 346/5 |
| 90 | 3 | 349/6 |
| 91 | 3 | 352/6 |
| 92 | 1 | 353/6 |
| 93 | 13 | 366/7 |
| 94 | 0 | 366/7 |
| 95 | 1 | 367/7 |
| 96 | 1 | 368/7 |
| 97 | 3 | 371/7 |
| 98 | 1 | 372/8 |
| 99 | 2 | 374/8 |
| 100 | 6 | 380/9 |
| 101 | 6 | 386/10 |
Imam-ul-Haq: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Abbas: Dave Morton · Public domain
Nahid Rana: Press Information Department · Public domain
Shaheen Afridi: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Mahmudul Hasan Joy: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mominul Haque: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Taijul Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Taskin Ahmed: Mahbub Ali Zaki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mushfiqur Rahim: Rasi56 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mehedi Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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