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Photo: Mattbuck
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
31 May 2026 · T20
Trent Bridge · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 52%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 0% to 53% during the match (Nottinghamshire: 48% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Graham Clarkcaught · Tom Moores · Dillon Pennington0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Moores · b Dillon Pennington | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Alex Leescaught · Joe Clarke · Mohammad Ali0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joe Clarke · b Mohammad Ali | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| David Bedinghamcaught · Joe Clarke · George Linde 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Joe Clarke · b George Linde | 24 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 126.32 |
 Ollie Robinsonlbw · Benny Howell4 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Benny Howell | 36 | 27 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 133.33 |
 Ben Rainecaught · Freddie McCann · George Linde0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Freddie McCann · b George Linde | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Colin Ackermannbowled · Oli Stone2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Oli Stone | 25 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 119.05 |
|---|
 Will Rhodescaught · George Munsey · Mohammad Ali3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · George Munsey · b Mohammad Ali | 38 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 118.75 |
|---|
| Kasey Aldridgecaught · George Linde · Oli Stone 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · George Linde · b Oli Stone | 20 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 153.85 |
|---|
 Matthew Pottsnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Nathan Sowternot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Pennington0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 8.00 | 1 | 1 |
 Oli Stone0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 8.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Mohammad Ali0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 8.75 | 2 | 0 |
| George Linde0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Benny Howell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Freddie McCann0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Graham Clark, 0.1) · 2-18 (Alex Lees, 2.1) · 3-41 (David Bedingham, 5.3) · 4-41 (Ben Raine, 5.4) · 5-71 (Ollie Robinson, 10.2) · 6-99 (Colin Ackermann, 14.4) · 7-143 (Will Rhodes, 18.5) · 8-155 (Kasey Aldridge, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/1 |
| 2 | 8 | 18/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 22/2 |
| 4 | 4 | 26/2 |
| 5 | 9 | 35/2 |
| 6 | 6 | 41/4 |
| 7 | 7 | 48/4 |
| 8 | 3 | 51/4 |
| 9 | 9 | 60/4 |
| 10 | 10 | 70/4 |
| 11 | 5 | 75/5 |
| 12 | 4 | 79/5 |
| 13 | 11 | 90/5 |
| 14 | 5 | 95/5 |
| 15 | 7 | 102/6 |
| 16 | 10 | 112/6 |
| 17 | 14 | 126/6 |
| 18 | 10 | 136/6 |
| 19 | 9 | 145/7 |
| 20 | 11 | 156/8 |
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Raine: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Benny Howell: Evertonfc99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Will Rhodes: Dave Morton · Public domain
Oli Stone: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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