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Photo: Mattbuck
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
31 May 2026 · T20
Trent Bridge · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 52%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 0% to 53% during the match (Nottinghamshire: 48% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Munseynot out 9 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 88* | 52 | 9 | 3 | 169.23 |
| Joe Clarkelbw · Kasey Aldridge 1 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Kasey Aldridge | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 183.33 |
| Jack Haynescaught · Graham Clark · Callum Parkinson 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Graham Clark · b Callum Parkinson | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
| Freddie McCanncaught · Graham Clark · Matthew Potts 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Graham Clark · b Matthew Potts | 32 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 96.97 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Robinson · b Matthew Potts |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| George Lindenot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 4 | 1 | 0 | 175.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum Parkinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 2 | 9.75 | 2 | 0 | |
| Kasey Aldridge0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.2 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 13.29 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 6.25 | 2 | 0 | |
| Nathan Sowter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 9.33 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-29 (Joe Clarke, 2.3) · 2-54 (Jack Haynes, 5.0) · 3-145 (Freddie McCann, 16.1) · 4-146 (Tom Moores, 16.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 16 | 19/0 |
| 3 | 13 | 32/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 43/1 |
| 5 | 11 | 54/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 63/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 68/2 |
| 8 | 9 | 77/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 84/2 |
| 10 | 9 | 93/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 99/2 |
| 12 | 9 | 108/2 |
| 13 | 12 | 120/2 |
| 14 | 4 | 124/2 |
| 15 | 18 | 142/2 |
| 16 | 3 | 145/2 |
| 17 | 6 | 151/4 |
| 18 | 6 | 157/4 |
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Raine: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Benny Howell: Evertonfc99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Will Rhodes: Dave Morton · Public domain
Oli Stone: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.