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Photo: The original uploader was PaddyBriggs at English Wikipedia.
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
SA20 · 2024/25 · Men
4 Feb 2025 · T20
St George's Park, Gqeberha · Venue photographRecorded result
MI Cape Town started on 48%; MI Cape Town batted first.
MI Cape Town's chances ranged from 45% to 100% during the match (Paarl Royals: 0% to 55%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LG Pretoriuscaught · Ryan Rickelton · Kagiso Rabada 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ryan Rickelton · b Kagiso Rabada | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 250.00 |
| Mitchell Owencaught · Reeza Hendricks · Trent Boult 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Reeza Hendricks · b Trent Boult | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 233.33 |
| Rubin Hermanncaught · Trent Boult · Corbin Bosch 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Trent Boult · b Corbin Bosch | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
| Dayyaan Galiemrun out · Ryan Rickelton, Corbin Bosch · George Linde 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ryan Rickelton, Corbin Bosch | 12 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Dunith Wellalagebowled · Rashid Khan 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Rashid Khan | 15 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 115.38 |
 David Millercaught · Dewald Brevis · George Linde4 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Dewald Brevis · b George Linde | 45 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 173.08 |
|---|
 Dinesh Karthikcaught · Dewald Brevis · Rashid Khan5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dewald Brevis · b Rashid Khan | 31 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 110.71 |
|---|
| Andile Phehlukwayocaught · Ryan Rickelton · Kagiso Rabada 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ryan Rickelton · b Kagiso Rabada | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
 Mujeeb Ur Rahmancaught · CA Ingram · Trent Boult1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · CA Ingram · b Trent Boult | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 140.00 |
|---|
| Bjorn Fortuincaught · Rashid Khan · Corbin Bosch 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rashid Khan · b Corbin Bosch | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 142.86 |
|---|
| Kwena Maphakanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 5 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trent Boult0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 2 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Kagiso Rabada0 maidens · 2 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 2 | 2 |
| Corbin Bosch0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 9.27 | 3 | 0 |
| George Linde0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 0 | 1 |
 Rashid Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-21 (LG Pretorius, 1.1) · 2-23 (Mitchell Owen, 2.1) · 3-33 (Rubin Hermann, 4.2) · 4-48 (Dayyaan Galiem, 6.4) · 5-81 (Dunith Wellalage, 10.0) · 6-116 (David Miller, 14.0) · 7-138 (Dinesh Karthik, 16.2) · 8-147 (Mujeeb Ur Rahman, 17.2) · 9-151 (Andile Phehlukwayo, 18.2) · 10-160 (Bjorn Fortuin, 19.4)
Recorded target: 200 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 21/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 23/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 28/2 |
| 4 | 4 | 32/2 |
| 5 | 6 | 38/3 |
| 6 | 7 | 45/3 |
| 7 | 5 | 50/4 |
| 8 | 10 | 60/4 |
| 9 | 14 | 74/4 |
| 10 | 7 | 81/5 |
| 11 | 10 | 91/5 |
| 12 | 3 | 94/5 |
| 13 | 8 | 102/5 |
| 14 | 14 | 116/6 |
| 15 | 9 | 125/6 |
| 16 | 12 | 137/6 |
| 17 | 8 | 145/7 |
| 18 | 5 | 150/8 |
| 19 | 2 | 152/9 |
| 20 | 8 | 160/10 |
Mujeeb Ur Rahman: Afghanistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
David Miller: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Dinesh Karthik: Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 3.0
Trent Boult: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rashid Khan: Afghanistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Reeza Hendricks: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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