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ECA Men's European Cup · 2026 · Men
28 Jul 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Austria more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
France started on 25%; France batted first.
France's chances ranged from 9% to 100% during the match (Austria: 0% to 91%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karanbir Singhcaught · C Roberts · Rahmatullah Mangal 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · C Roberts · b Rahmatullah Mangal | 15 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 136.36 |
| Bilal Zalmaicaught and bowled · Rahimgul Naseri 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught and bowled · b Rahimgul Naseri | 15 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 187.50 |
| Aqib Iqbalbowled · Dawood Ahmadzai 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Dawood Ahmadzai | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 142.86 |
| Shadnan Khanbowled · Dawood Ahmadzai 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Dawood Ahmadzai | 13 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Baseer Khannot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 14* | 18 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
| AA Wagh |
| caught · Noman Amjad · b Jamshid Nasiri |
| 8 |
| 10 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 80.00 |
| Zeshan Arifcaught · Mustafa Omer · Usman Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mustafa Omer · b Usman Khan | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Irfan Safilbw · Usman Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Usman Khan | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| KR Jhacaught · Rahmatullah Mangal · Noman Amjad 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rahmatullah Mangal · b Noman Amjad | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Maiwand Momandbowled · Noman Amjad 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Noman Amjad | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Faridullah Shamsbowled · Noman Amjad 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Noman Amjad | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rahmatullah Mangal0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 9.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Dawood Ahmadzai0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 5.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Rahimgul Naseri0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Jamshid Nasiri0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Usman Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Noman Amjad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-17 (Karanbir Singh, 2.2) · 2-28 (Aqib Iqbal, 3.4) · 3-53 (Bilal Zalmai, 5.5) · 4-55 (Shadnan Khan, 6.5) · 5-67 (AA Wagh, 9.1) · 6-70 (Zeshan Arif, 10.1) · 7-70 (Irfan Safi, 10.5) · 8-75 (KR Jha, 11.4) · 9-75 (Maiwand Momand, 12.0) · 10-85 (Faridullah Shams, 14.0)
Recorded target: 167 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 13 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 26/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 28/2 |
| 5 | 16 | 44/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 53/3 |
| 7 | 2 | 55/4 |
| 8 | 1 | 56/4 |
| 9 | 11 | 67/4 |
| 10 | 3 | 70/5 |
| 11 | 1 | 71/7 |
| 12 | 4 | 75/9 |
| 13 | 5 | 80/9 |
| 14 | 5 | 85/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.