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Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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Men's T20 Asia Cup · 2025 · Men
10 Sept 2025 · T20
Dubai International Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 33%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 0% to 45% during the match (India: 55% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abhishek Sharmacaught · Haider Ali · Junaid Siddique 2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Haider Ali · b Junaid Siddique | 30 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 187.50 |
 Shubman Gillnot out2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 20* | 9 | 2 | 1 | 222.22 |
 Suryakumar Yadavnot out0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 7* | 2 | 0 | 1 | 350.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haider Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls |
|---|
| 1.0 |
| 0 |
| 10 |
| 0 |
| 10.00 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Muhammad Rohid0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| D Parashar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Junaid Siddique0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 16.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| SS Kang0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
1-48 (Abhishek Sharma, 3.5)
Recorded target: 58 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 25/0 |
| 3 | 13 | 38/0 |
| 4 | 16 | 54/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 60/1 |
Sanju Samson: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Hardik Pandya: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Suryakumar Yadav: Kolkata Knight Riders - Official · CC BY 3.0
Axar Patel: Anand Anil · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shivam Dube: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Kuldeep Yadav: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Tilak Varma: Buchi Babu Sana · CC BY 4.0
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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