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Photo: Joe.Bekker at English Wikipedia
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Men
2 Jan 2025 · T20
Docklands Stadium, Melbourne · Venue photographRecorded result
Melbourne Renegades started on 49%; Melbourne Renegades batted first.
Melbourne Renegades's chances ranged from 0% to 61% during the match (Adelaide Strikers: 39% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chris Lynncaught · Laurie Evans · Adam Zampa10 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Laurie Evans · b Adam Zampa | 88 | 51 | 10 | 4 | 172.55 |
 D'Arcy Shortbowled · Tom Rogers2 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Tom Rogers | 27 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 135.00 |
 James Bazleycaught · Laurie Evans · Jacob Bethell0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Laurie Evans · b Jacob Bethell | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Jake Weatheraldlbw · Adam Zampa 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Adam Zampa | 3 | 8 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 37.50 |
 Ollie Popecaught · Jacob Bethell · Tom Rogers0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jacob Bethell · b Tom Rogers | 12 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Alex Rossnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 9 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Jamie Overtonnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fergus O'Neill0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Tom Rogers0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Kane Richardson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Will Sutherland0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 10.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Adam Zampa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Bethell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.1 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.32 | 0 | 0 |
1-104 (D'Arcy Short, 11.0) · 2-116 (Chris Lynn, 11.5) · 3-118 (James Bazley, 12.3) · 4-128 (Jake Weatherald, 14.1) · 5-139 (Ollie Pope, 16.2)
Recorded target: 143 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 23/0 |
| 4 | 14 | 37/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 40/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 42/0 |
| 7 | 19 | 61/0 |
| 8 | 8 | 69/0 |
| 9 | 13 | 82/0 |
| 10 | 9 | 91/0 |
| 11 | 13 | 104/1 |
| 12 | 12 | 116/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 120/3 |
| 14 | 8 | 128/3 |
| 15 | 2 | 130/4 |
| 16 | 8 | 138/4 |
| 17 | 4 | 142/5 |
| 18 | 1 | 143/5 |
Kane Richardson: YellowMonkey · CC BY-SA 3.0
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
D'Arcy Short: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
James Bazley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Brendan Doggett: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Lynn: Haley Jackson · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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