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Photo: Michael Coghlan from Adelaide, Australia
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2023/24 · Men
22 Jan 2024 · T20
Carrara Oval · Venue photographRecorded result
Brisbane Heat started on 52%; Brisbane Heat batted first.
Brisbane Heat's chances ranged from 43% to 100% during the match (Adelaide Strikers: 0% to 57%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Browncaught · Harry Nielsen · David Payne 10 fours · 12 sixes | caught · Harry Nielsen · b David Payne | 140 | 57 | 10 | 12 | 245.61 |
| Charlie Wakimlbw · David Payne 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b David Payne | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 116.67 |
| Nathan McSweeneylbw · Henry Thornton 2 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Henry Thornton | 33 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 113.79 |
 Matt Renshawcaught · Thomas Kelly · Lloyd Pope0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Thomas Kelly · b Lloyd Pope | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Max Bryantcaught · Matthew Short · Cameron Boyce 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Short |
| 9 |
| 5 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 180.00 |
| Paul Walterstumped · Harry Nielsen · Lloyd Pope 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Harry Nielsen · b Lloyd Pope | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 James Peirsoncaught · Matthew Short · Cameron Boyce0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Short · b Cameron Boyce | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
 Michael Nesernot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Xavier Bartlettnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Short0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 14.00 | 1 | 0 |
| David Payne0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 5.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Henry Thornton0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
 James Bazley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 42 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Cameron Boyce0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 50 | 2 | 12.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Lloyd Pope0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 2 | 9.75 | 1 | 0 |
1-8 (Charlie Wakim, 1.1) · 2-127 (Nathan McSweeney, 11.1) · 3-192 (Josh Brown, 16.3) · 4-202 (Matt Renshaw, 17.3) · 5-202 (Paul Walter, 17.5) · 6-204 (Max Bryant, 18.1) · 7-207 (James Peirson, 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 10/1 |
| 3 | 13 | 23/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 29/1 |
| 5 | 14 | 43/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 52/1 |
| 7 | 14 | 66/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 71/1 |
| 9 | 20 | 91/1 |
| 10 | 21 | 112/1 |
| 11 | 15 | 127/1 |
| 12 | 4 | 131/2 |
| 13 | 13 | 144/2 |
| 14 | 17 | 161/2 |
| 15 | 16 | 177/2 |
| 16 | 14 | 191/2 |
| 17 | 9 | 200/3 |
| 18 | 4 | 204/5 |
| 19 | 3 | 207/7 |
| 20 | 7 | 214/7 |
Michael Neser: Dave Morton · Public domain
James Peirson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
D'Arcy Short: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
James Bazley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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