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Photo: Michael Coghlan from Adelaide, Australia
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2023/24 · Men
22 Jan 2024 · T20
Carrara Oval · Venue photographRecorded result
Brisbane Heat started on 52%; Brisbane Heat batted first.
Brisbane Heat's chances ranged from 43% to 100% during the match (Adelaide Strikers: 0% to 57%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Shortcaught · Paul Walter · Spencer Johnson 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Paul Walter · b Spencer Johnson | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 211.11 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · James Peirson · b Spencer Johnson | 7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 53.85 |
| Jake Weatheraldcaught · James Peirson · Spencer Johnson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · James Peirson · b Spencer Johnson | 8 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 61.54 |
| Thomas Kellycaught · Michael Neser · Paul Walter 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Michael Neser · b Paul Walter | 41 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 170.83 |
| Harry Nielsencaught · Charlie Wakim · Nathan McSweeney6 fours · 1 sixes |
| caught · Charlie Wakim · b Nathan McSweeney |
| 50 |
| 33 |
| 6 |
| 1 |
| 151.52 |
| Ben Manentistumped · James Peirson · Matthew Kuhnemann 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · James Peirson · b Matthew Kuhnemann | 12 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 85.71 |
|---|
0 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Charlie Wakim | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 175.00 |
|---|
| Henry Thorntoncaught · Paul Walter · Xavier Bartlett 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Paul Walter · b Xavier Bartlett | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| David Paynecaught and bowled · Nathan McSweeney 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught and bowled · b Nathan McSweeney | 13 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 216.67 |
|---|
| Cameron Boycenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Lloyd Popecaught and bowled · Nathan McSweeney 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Nathan McSweeney | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| Xavier Bartlett0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Spencer Johnson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew Kuhnemann0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Paul Walter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan McSweeney0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3.60 | 0 | 0 |
1-27 (Matthew Short, 3.3) · 2-28 (D'Arcy Short, 3.5) · 3-62 (Jake Weatherald, 8.1) · 4-86 (Thomas Kelly, 11.4) · 5-114 (Ben Manenti, 15.3) · 6-129 (James Bazley, 16.5) · 7-141 (Henry Thornton, 17.5) · 8-157 (David Payne, 19.1) · 9-160 (Harry Nielsen, 19.4) · 10-160 (Lloyd Pope, 19.5)
Recorded target: 215 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 21/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 28/2 |
| 5 | 12 | 40/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 45/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 49/2 |
| 8 | 13 | 62/2 |
| 9 | 3 | 65/3 |
| 10 | 10 | 75/3 |
| 11 | 3 | 78/3 |
| 12 | 13 | 91/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 95/4 |
| 14 | 10 | 105/4 |
| 15 | 7 | 112/4 |
| 16 | 10 | 122/5 |
| 17 | 8 | 130/6 |
| 18 | 11 | 141/7 |
| 19 | 16 | 157/7 |
| 20 | 3 | 160/10 |
Michael Neser: Dave Morton · Public domain
James Peirson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
D'Arcy Short: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
James Bazley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.