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ICC Women's Emerging Nations Trophy · 2025/26 · Women
30 Nov 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Netherlands more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Uganda started on 36%; Uganda batted first.
Uganda's chances ranged from 0% to 54% during the match (Netherlands: 46% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janet Mbabazibowled · Frederique Overdijk 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Frederique Overdijk | 13 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 92.86 |
| E Ilokucaught · Babette de Leede · Robine Rijke 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Babette de Leede · b Robine Rijke | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Immaculate Nakisuuyicaught · Iris Zwilling · Silver Siegers 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Iris Zwilling · b Silver Siegers | 16 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 57.14 |
| Rita Musamalibowled · I van der Woning 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b I van der Woning | 11 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Stephanie Nampiinacaught · P Molkenboer · Silver Siegers 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · P Molkenboer · b Silver Siegers | 21 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 63.64 |
| Prosscovia Alakorun out · Babette de Leede, I van der Woning · Frederique Overdijk 4 fours · 1 sixes |
|---|
| run out · Babette de Leede, I van der Woning |
| 34 |
| 29 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 117.24 |
| Malisa Ariokotnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 9 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iris Zwilling0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 5.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Robine Rijke0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Frederique Overdijk0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Silver Siegers0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Caroline de Lange0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 6.25 | 1 | 1 |
| I van der Woning0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 4.67 | 5 | 0 |
1-6 (E Iloku, 1.5) · 2-26 (Janet Mbabazi, 6.0) · 3-44 (Immaculate Nakisuuyi, 9.0) · 4-55 (Rita Musamali, 10.5) · 5-92 (Stephanie Nampiina, 19.0) · 6-111 (Prosscovia Alako, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 6/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 13/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 14/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 18/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 26/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 30/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 38/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 44/3 |
| 10 | 8 | 52/3 |
| 11 | 3 | 55/4 |
| 12 | 7 | 62/4 |
| 13 | 1 | 63/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 67/4 |
| 15 | 7 | 74/4 |
| 16 | 5 | 79/4 |
| 17 | 5 | 84/4 |
| 18 | 7 | 91/4 |
| 19 | 1 | 92/5 |
| 20 | 19 | 111/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.