South AfricaversusWest Indies

20 Jun 2025 · T20

Three Ws Oval, Cave Hill, Barbados · Venue photograph

Recorded result

South Africa won by 50 runs

South Africa20.0 overs183/6 West Indies20.0 overs133/6 Three Ws Oval, Cave Hill, Barbados ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

West Indies more likely to win

46%South Africa54%West Indies

Why

In the last 10 T20 internationals between these sides, South Africa won 7 and West Indies won 3
On results in T20 internationals so far, West Indies rate stronger than South Africa (1,585 vs 1,541 on our results rating)
West Indies are playing at home in Barbados

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.