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Photo: Keith Salvesen
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Charlotte Edwards Cup · 2024 · Women
27 May 2024 · T20
Arundel Castle Cricket Club Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Sunrisers started on 32%; Sunrisers batted first.
Sunrisers's chances ranged from 7% to 80% during the match (Southern Vipers: 20% to 93%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
On 27 May 2024, Sunrisers played Southern Vipers at Arundel Castle Cricket Club Ground. Recorded result: Sunrisers won by 3 runs.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.