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Australia Women tour of India · 2025/26 · Women
17 Sept 2025 · ODI
Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium, New Chandigarh · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
India started on 23%; India batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alyssa Healycaught · Arundhati Reddy · Kranti Goud1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Arundhati Reddy · b Kranti Goud | 9 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 47.37 |
 Georgia Vollbowled · Renuka Singh0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Renuka Singh | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Ellyse Perrycaught and bowled · Radha Yadav5 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Radha Yadav | 44 | 61 | 5 | 0 | 72.13 |
 Beth Mooneycaught · Arundhati Reddy · Sneh Rana1 fours · 0 sixes |
India's chances ranged from 22% to 100% during the match (Australia: 0% to 78%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Arundhati Reddy · b Sneh Rana |
| 18 |
| 34 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 52.94 |
 Annabel Sutherlandcaught · Harmanpreet Kaur · Arundhati Reddy4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harmanpreet Kaur · b Arundhati Reddy | 45 | 42 | 4 | 0 | 107.14 |
|---|
 Ashleigh Gardnercaught · Radha Yadav · Deepti Sharma1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Radha Yadav · b Deepti Sharma | 17 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 58.62 |
|---|
 Tahlia McGrathcaught · Arundhati Reddy · Deepti Sharma2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Arundhati Reddy · b Deepti Sharma | 16 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
 Georgia Warehambowled · Kranti Goud0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kranti Goud | 10 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 58.82 |
|---|
 Alana Kingrun out · Sneh Rana, Kranti Goud · Kranti Goud0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Sneh Rana, Kranti Goud | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Megan Schuttcaught and bowled · Kranti Goud0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Kranti Goud | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Darcie Brownnot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 14* | 13 | 2 | 0 | 107.69 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 13 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kranti Goud1 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.5 | 1 | 28 | 3 | 2.85 | 4 | 0 |
 Renuka Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.3 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 4.31 | 0 | 0 |
| Sneh Rana0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 5.83 | 1 | 0 |
| Arundhati Reddy0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.3 | 0 | 46 | 1 | 6.13 | 7 | 0 |
 Deepti Sharma0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Radha Yadav0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 5.40 | 1 | 0 |
1-8 (Georgia Voll, 2.0) · 2-12 (Alyssa Healy, 4.5) · 3-62 (Beth Mooney, 17.0) · 4-108 (Ellyse Perry, 24.3) · 5-134 (Annabel Sutherland, 29.3) · 6-151 (Ashleigh Gardner, 33.5) · 7-164 (Tahlia McGrath, 35.3) · 8-169 (Alana King, 36.3) · 9-170 (Megan Schutt, 37.0) · 10-190 (Georgia Wareham, 40.5)
Recorded target: 293 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 9/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 11/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 12/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 16/2 |
| 7 | 0 | 16/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 17/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 19/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 25/2 |
| 11 | 2 | 27/2 |
| 12 | 9 | 36/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 40/2 |
| 14 | 8 | 48/2 |
| 15 | 3 | 51/2 |
| 16 | 5 | 56/2 |
| 17 | 6 | 62/3 |
| 18 | 11 | 73/3 |
| 19 | 7 | 80/3 |
| 20 | 3 | 83/3 |
| 21 | 5 | 88/3 |
| 22 | 7 | 95/3 |
| 23 | 6 | 101/3 |
| 24 | 4 | 105/3 |
| 25 | 3 | 108/4 |
| 26 | 6 | 114/4 |
| 27 | 5 | 119/4 |
| 28 | 5 | 124/4 |
| 29 | 8 | 132/4 |
| 30 | 3 | 135/5 |
| 31 | 7 | 142/5 |
| 32 | 4 | 146/5 |
| 33 | 3 | 149/5 |
| 34 | 2 | 151/6 |
| 35 | 12 | 163/6 |
| 36 | 2 | 165/7 |
| 37 | 5 | 170/9 |
| 38 | 4 | 174/9 |
| 39 | 2 | 176/9 |
| 40 | 11 | 187/9 |
| 41 | 3 | 190/10 |
Georgia Wareham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Deepti Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tahlia McGrath: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Renuka Singh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ellyse Perry: Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade · CC BY 4.0
Richa Ghosh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Megan Schutt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ashleigh Gardner: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Beth Mooney: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alyssa Healy: YellowMonkey · CC BY-SA 3.0
Harmanpreet Kaur: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Darcie Brown: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Radha Yadav: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Annabel Sutherland: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Smriti Mandhana: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Georgia Voll: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alana King: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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