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Photo: Seksan Phonsuwan
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ICC Women's Emerging Nations Trophy · 2025/26 · Women
30 Nov 2025 · T20
Asian Institute of Technology Ground, Bangkok · Venue photographRecorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 76%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 77% to 100% during the match (Namibia: 0% to 23%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sune Wittmanncaught · S Dharnidharka · Vaishnave Mahesh 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Dharnidharka · b Vaishnave Mahesh | 23 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 69.70 |
| Kayleen Greenbowled · S Kotte 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b S Kotte | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Yasmeen Khanrun out · Theertha Satish, MD Botha · S Kotte 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Theertha Satish, MD Botha | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| B Manuelcaught · Rinitha Rajith · MD Botha 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rinitha Rajith · b MD Botha | 7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 58.33 |
| M Mwatilecaught · Esha Oza · Vaishnave Mahesh 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Esha Oza · b Vaishnave Mahesh | 9 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 56.25 |
| not out |
| 54* |
| 34 |
| 6 |
| 1 |
| 158.82 |
| Arrasta Diergaardtbowled · Esha Oza 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Esha Oza | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| M Gorasesbowled · Esha Oza 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Esha Oza | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| N Benjaminnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 16* | 11 | 2 | 0 | 145.45 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Kotte0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 1 | 0 |
| MD Botha0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 4.75 | 3 | 0 |
| Heena Hotchandani0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Vaishnave Mahesh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Esha Oza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| S Dharnidharka0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-1 (Kayleen Green, 0.4) · 2-3 (Yasmeen Khan, 1.0) · 3-24 (B Manuel, 5.4) · 4-39 (M Mwatile, 9.3) · 5-46 (Sune Wittmann, 11.5) · 6-61 (Arrasta Diergaardt, 14.3) · 7-63 (M Gorases, 15.0)
Recorded target: 154 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/2 |
| 2 | 5 | 8/2 |
| 3 | 7 | 15/2 |
| 4 | 3 | 18/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 23/2 |
| 6 | 1 | 24/3 |
| 7 | 5 | 29/3 |
| 8 | 3 | 32/3 |
| 9 | 6 | 38/3 |
| 10 | 2 | 40/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 44/4 |
| 12 | 2 | 46/5 |
| 13 | 8 | 54/5 |
| 14 | 6 | 60/5 |
| 15 | 3 | 63/7 |
| 16 | 10 | 73/7 |
| 17 | 12 | 85/7 |
| 18 | 15 | 100/7 |
| 19 | 10 | 110/7 |
| 20 | 15 | 125/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.