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ICC Women's T20 World Cup Africa Region Division One Qualifier · 2025 · Women
4 Sept 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Uganda started on 47%; Uganda batted first.
Uganda's chances ranged from 0% to 62% during the match (Zimbabwe: 38% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modester Mupachikwacaught · Janet Mbabazi · Immaculate Nakisuuyi 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Janet Mbabazi · b Immaculate Nakisuuyi | 25 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Kelis Ndhlovustumped · Kevin Awino · Janet Mbabazi 2 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Kevin Awino · b Janet Mbabazi | 18 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 58.06 |
| Loren Tshumarun out · Rita Musamali, Kevin Awino · Concy Aweko 0 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Rita Musamali, Kevin Awino | 18 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 90.00 |
| Chipo Mugericaught and bowled · Janet Mbabazi 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Janet Mbabazi | 14 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
| Nyasha Gwanzurabowled · Malisa Ariokot 0 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Malisa Ariokot | 17 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 283.33 |
| B Bizanot out 2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 16* | 5 | 2 | 1 | 320.00 |
|---|
| Chiedza Dhururunot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 3 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irene Mutonyi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Concy Aweko0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Immaculate Nakisuuyi1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 1 | 0 |
| S Akiteng0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 48 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 2 |
| Janet Mbabazi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Malisa Ariokot0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-46 (Modester Mupachikwa, 8.1) · 2-57 (Kelis Ndhlovu, 11.1) · 3-73 (Loren Tshuma, 14.0) · 4-86 (Chipo Mugeri, 15.5) · 5-116 (Nyasha Gwanzura, 17.1)
Recorded target: 120 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 20/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 30/0 |
| 5 | 0 | 30/0 |
| 6 | 11 | 41/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 45/0 |
| 8 | 1 | 46/0 |
| 9 | 7 | 53/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 56/1 |
| 11 | 1 | 57/1 |
| 12 | 4 | 61/2 |
| 13 | 8 | 69/2 |
| 14 | 4 | 73/3 |
| 15 | 6 | 79/3 |
| 16 | 9 | 88/4 |
| 17 | 28 | 116/4 |
| 18 | 4 | 120/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.