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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2025 · Men
25 May 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
United States of America more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United States of America started on 71%; United States of America batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pargat Singhlbw · Harmeet Singh 2 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Harmeet Singh | 37 | 52 | 2 | 1 | 71.15 |
| Navneet Dhaliwalcaught · Saiteja Mukkamalla · Saurabh Netravalkar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Saiteja Mukkamalla · b Saurabh Netravalkar | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Mansab Gillcaught · Smit Patel · Saurabh Netravalkar 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Smit Patel · b Saurabh Netravalkar | 9 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 52.94 |
| Nicholas Kirtonlbw · Milind Kumar 3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Milind Kumar | 32 | 45 | 3 | 0 | 71.11 |
| Harsh Thakercaught · Nosthush Kenjige · Saurabh Netravalkar 4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Nosthush Kenjige · b Saurabh Netravalkar | 66 | 79 | 4 | 2 | 83.54 |
United States of America's chances ranged from 46% to 100% during the match (Canada: 0% to 54%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| Anop Santoshlbw · Harmeet Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Harmeet Singh | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 22.22 |
|---|
| Shivam Sharma (3)caught · Sanjay Krishnamurthi · Jasdeep Singh 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sanjay Krishnamurthi · b Jasdeep Singh | 28 | 41 | 3 | 0 | 68.29 |
|---|
| Dillon Heyligercaught · Milind Kumar · Harmeet Singh 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Milind Kumar · b Harmeet Singh | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
 Saad Bin Zafarlbw · Saurabh Netravalkar0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Saurabh Netravalkar | 7 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 53.85 |
|---|
| Parveen Kumar (2)caught · Nosthush Kenjige · Jasdeep Singh 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nosthush Kenjige · b Jasdeep Singh | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Kaleem Sananot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 1 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nosthush Kenjige1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 32 | 0 | 3.20 | 0 | 0 |
| Saurabh Netravalkar1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 8.1 | 1 | 33 | 4 | 4.04 | 0 | 1 |
| Milind Kumar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jasdeep Singh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 46 | 2 | 5.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Harmeet Singh1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 40 | 3 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sanjay Krishnamurthi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-8 (Navneet Dhaliwal, 2.0) · 2-24 (Mansab Gill, 7.3) · 3-70 (Pargat Singh, 18.2) · 4-90 (Nicholas Kirton, 23.2) · 5-97 (Anop Santosh, 26.1) · 6-173 (Shivam Sharma (3), 40.3) · 7-178 (Harsh Thaker, 42.1) · 8-186 (Dillon Heyliger, 44.0) · 9-198 (Parveen Kumar (2), 46.0) · 10-198 (Saad Bin Zafar, 46.1)
Recorded target: 287 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 10/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 12/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 18/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 20/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 23/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 26/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 28/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 34/2 |
| 11 | 3 | 37/2 |
| 12 | 2 | 39/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 43/2 |
| 14 | 6 | 49/2 |
| 15 | 4 | 53/2 |
| 16 | 8 | 61/2 |
| 17 | 6 | 67/2 |
| 18 | 3 | 70/2 |
| 19 | 1 | 71/3 |
| 20 | 3 | 74/3 |
| 21 | 7 | 81/3 |
| 22 | 2 | 83/3 |
| 23 | 6 | 89/3 |
| 24 | 6 | 95/4 |
| 25 | 2 | 97/4 |
| 26 | 0 | 97/4 |
| 27 | 0 | 97/5 |
| 28 | 3 | 100/5 |
| 29 | 7 | 107/5 |
| 30 | 1 | 108/5 |
| 31 | 1 | 109/5 |
| 32 | 10 | 119/5 |
| 33 | 2 | 121/5 |
| 34 | 9 | 130/5 |
| 35 | 1 | 131/5 |
| 36 | 9 | 140/5 |
| 37 | 6 | 146/5 |
| 38 | 6 | 152/5 |
| 39 | 11 | 163/5 |
| 40 | 8 | 171/5 |
| 41 | 4 | 175/6 |
| 42 | 3 | 178/6 |
| 43 | 6 | 184/7 |
| 44 | 2 | 186/8 |
| 45 | 7 | 193/8 |
| 46 | 5 | 198/9 |
| 47 | 0 | 198/10 |
Saad Bin Zafar: Apnagm · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
