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Photo: Ullaelinakarna
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Nordic T20 Cup · 2024 · Men
15 Jun 2024 · T20
Kerava National Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Norway more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Finland started on 36%; Finland batted first.
Finland's chances ranged from 0% to 62% during the match (Norway: 38% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raza Iqbalcaught · Jordan O'Brien · Amjad Sher 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jordan O'Brien · b Amjad Sher | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Khizer Ahmedcaught · Amjad Sher · MB Tambe2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amjad Sher · b MB Tambe | 18 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 138.46 |
| Walid Ghauricaught · Jordan O'Brien · NM Salonen 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jordan O'Brien · b NM Salonen | 16 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 84.21 |
| D Abeyrathnanot out 3 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 46* | 43 | 3 | 1 | 106.98 |
| Javed Maroofkhailnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 27* | 34 | 0 | 1 |
| 79.41 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 11 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amjad Sher0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 3.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Raaz Mohammad0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 7.36 | 2 | 0 |
| MB Tambe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
| NM Salonen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Akhil Arjunan0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 7.33 | 4 | 0 |
| Ghulam Abbas Butt0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 3 | 0 |
1-1 (Raza Iqbal, 0.3) · 2-31 (Khizer Ahmed, 4.5) · 3-39 (Walid Ghauri, 6.0)
Recorded target: 119 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 8 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 18/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 27/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 31/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 39/3 |
| 7 | 4 | 43/3 |
| 8 | 2 | 45/3 |
| 9 | 5 | 50/3 |
| 10 | 6 | 56/3 |
| 11 | 7 | 63/3 |
| 12 | 12 | 75/3 |
| 13 | 10 | 85/3 |
| 14 | 7 | 92/3 |
| 15 | 1 | 93/3 |
| 16 | 11 | 104/3 |
| 17 | 3 | 107/3 |
| 18 | 8 | 115/3 |
| 19 | 4 | 119/3 |
Khizer Ahmed: Khizer22 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
