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Photo: Mtaylor848
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Women · 2026 · Women
24 May 2026 · T20
Headingley · Venue photographYorkshire started on 40%; Yorkshire batted first.
Yorkshire's chances ranged from 0% to 70% during the match (Surrey: 30% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryony Smithbowled · Jess Jonassen 5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jess Jonassen | 21 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 262.50 |
| Alice Davidson-Richardscaught · Lauren Winfield · Olivia Thomas 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lauren Winfield · b Olivia Thomas | 29 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 181.25 |
| Kira Chathlibowled · Jess Jonassen 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jess Jonassen | 14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 127.27 |
| Laura Harriscaught · Sterre Kalis · Jess Jonassen 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sterre Kalis · b Jess Jonassen | 19 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 126.67 |
 Paige Scholfieldrun out · HM Garton (2), Olivia Thomas · Olivia Thomas0 fours · 0 sixes |
| run out · HM Garton (2), Olivia Thomas |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Jemima Spencenot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 20* | 17 | 2 | 0 | 117.65 |
|---|
| Ryana MacDonald-Gaybowled · HM Garton (2) 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b HM Garton (2) | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Alice Monaghannot out 6 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 29* | 21 | 6 | 0 | 138.10 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Slater0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 14.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Jess Jonassen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| HM Garton (2)0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Beth Langston0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.3 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 11.20 | 1 | 0 |
| Olivia Thomas0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-25 (Bryony Smith, 1.3) · 2-43 (Kira Chathli, 4.0) · 3-83 (Alice Davidson-Richards, 7.5) · 4-83 (Paige Scholfield, 8.0) · 5-86 (Laura Harris, 8.5) · 6-89 (Ryana MacDonald-Gay, 10.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 21/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 28/1 |
| 3 | 8 | 36/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 43/2 |
| 5 | 9 | 52/2 |
| 6 | 10 | 62/2 |
| 7 | 11 | 73/2 |
| 8 | 10 | 83/4 |
| 9 | 3 | 86/5 |
| 10 | 3 | 89/6 |
| 11 | 5 | 94/6 |
| 12 | 6 | 100/6 |
| 13 | 8 | 108/6 |
| 14 | 10 | 118/6 |
| 15 | 8 | 126/6 |
| 16 | 8 | 134/6 |
Paige Scholfield: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jess Jonassen: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Lauren Winfield: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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