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Photo: G patkar
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
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Indian Premier League · 2026 · Men
23 Apr 2026 · T20
Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai · Venue photographRecorded result
Chennai Super Kings started on 41%; Chennai Super Kings batted first.
Chennai Super Kings's chances ranged from 39% to 100% during the match (Mumbai Indians: 0% to 61%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Quinton de Kockbowled · Mukesh Choudhary0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Mukesh Choudhary | 7 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 70.00 |
| DV Malewarcaught · Sanju Samson · Akeal Hosein 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sanju Samson · b Akeal Hosein | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Naman Dhirbowled · Akeal Hosein 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Akeal Hosein | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Suryakumar Yadavcaught · Sarfaraz Khan · Akeal Hosein5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sarfaraz Khan · b Akeal Hosein | 36 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 120.00 |
| bowled · b Akeal Hosein |
| 37 |
| 29 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 127.59 |
 Hardik Pandyacaught · Mukesh Choudhary · Noor Ahmad0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mukesh Choudhary · b Noor Ahmad | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Sherfane Rutherfordcaught · Anshul Kamboj · Noor Ahmad 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Anshul Kamboj · b Noor Ahmad | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Shardul Thakurcaught · Dewald Brevis · Anshul Kamboj 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dewald Brevis · b Anshul Kamboj | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Krish Bhagatcaught · Gurjapneet Singh · Jamie Overton 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gurjapneet Singh · b Jamie Overton | 7 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 46.67 |
|---|
| Ashwani Kumarnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
 Jasprit Bumrahcaught · Sanju Samson · Gurjapneet Singh0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sanju Samson · b Gurjapneet Singh | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akeal Hosein1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Mukesh Choudhary0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 3 | 0 |
| Anshul Kamboj0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 3.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Noor Ahmad0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Jamie Overton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Gurjapneet Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-7 (DV Malewar, 1.0) · 2-7 (Quinton de Kock, 1.5) · 3-11 (Naman Dhir, 2.3) · 4-84 (Tilak Varma, 11.5) · 5-85 (Hardik Pandya, 12.1) · 6-85 (Sherfane Rutherford, 12.2) · 7-87 (Suryakumar Yadav, 13.1) · 8-100 (Krish Bhagat, 17.0) · 9-100 (Shardul Thakur, 17.1) · 10-104 (Jasprit Bumrah, 19.0)
Recorded target: 208 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/1 |
| 2 | 4 | 11/2 |
| 3 | 0 | 11/3 |
| 4 | 6 | 17/3 |
| 5 | 7 | 24/3 |
| 6 | 5 | 29/3 |
| 7 | 1 | 30/3 |
| 8 | 16 | 46/3 |
| 9 | 10 | 56/3 |
| 10 | 13 | 69/3 |
| 11 | 9 | 78/3 |
| 12 | 7 | 85/4 |
| 13 | 2 | 87/6 |
| 14 | 3 | 90/7 |
| 15 | 4 | 94/7 |
| 16 | 5 | 99/7 |
| 17 | 1 | 100/8 |
| 18 | 2 | 102/9 |
| 19 | 2 | 104/10 |
Sanju Samson: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Hardik Pandya: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Suryakumar Yadav: Kolkata Knight Riders - Official · CC BY 3.0
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Shivam Dube: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Quinton de Kock: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tilak Varma: Buchi Babu Sana · CC BY 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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