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India tour of England · 2025 · Men
31 Jul 2025 · Test
The Oval · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yashasvi Jaiswallbw · Gus Atkinson0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Gus Atkinson | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 22.22 |
 KL Rahulbowled · Chris Woakes1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Chris Woakes | 14 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 35.00 |
| Sai Sudharsancaught · Jamie Smith · Josh Tongue 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Josh Tongue | 38 | 108 | 6 | 0 | 35.19 |
 Shubman Gill |
| run out · Gus Atkinson |
| 21 |
| 35 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 60.00 |
 Karun Nairlbw · Josh Tongue8 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Josh Tongue | 57 | 109 | 8 | 0 | 52.29 |
|---|
 Ravindra Jadejacaught · Jamie Smith · Josh Tongue1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Josh Tongue | 9 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 69.23 |
|---|
| Dhruv Jurelcaught · Harry Brook · Gus Atkinson 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Gus Atkinson | 19 | 40 | 2 | 0 | 47.50 |
|---|
 Washington Sundarcaught · Jamie Overton · Gus Atkinson3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Overton · b Gus Atkinson | 26 | 55 | 3 | 0 | 47.27 |
|---|
| Akash Deepnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Mohammed Sirajbowled · Gus Atkinson0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Gus Atkinson | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Prasidh Krishnacaught · Jamie Smith · Gus Atkinson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Gus Atkinson | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 12 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 16 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chris Woakes1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.0 | 1 | 46 | 1 | 3.29 | 0 | 0 |
| Gus Atkinson8 maidens · 1 wides · 4 no-balls | 21.4 | 8 | 33 | 5 | 1.52 | 1 | 4 |
| Josh Tongue4 maidens · 12 wides · 0 no-balls | 16.0 | 4 | 57 | 3 | 3.56 | 12 | 0 |
 Jamie Overton0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 16.0 | 0 | 66 | 0 | 4.13 | 3 | 0 |
| Jacob Bethell1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-10 (Yashasvi Jaiswal, 3.1) · 2-38 (KL Rahul, 15.1) · 3-83 (Shubman Gill, 27.2) · 4-101 (Sai Sudharsan, 35.4) · 5-123 (Ravindra Jadeja, 39.3) · 6-153 (Dhruv Jurel, 49.3) · 7-218 (Karun Nair, 66.5) · 8-220 (Washington Sundar, 67.4) · 9-224 (Mohammed Siraj, 69.2) · 10-224 (Prasidh Krishna, 69.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 3/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 9/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 10/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 13/1 |
| 6 | 0 | 13/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 17/1 |
| 8 | 1 | 18/1 |
| 9 | 12 | 30/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 33/1 |
| 11 | 0 | 33/1 |
| 12 | 1 | 34/1 |
| 13 | 2 | 36/1 |
| 14 | 1 | 37/1 |
| 15 | 1 | 38/1 |
| 16 | 2 | 40/2 |
| 17 | 4 | 44/2 |
| 18 | 2 | 46/2 |
| 19 | 6 | 52/2 |
| 20 | 4 | 56/2 |
| 21 | 6 | 62/2 |
| 22 | 6 | 68/2 |
| 23 | 4 | 72/2 |
| 24 | 0 | 72/2 |
| 25 | 4 | 76/2 |
| 26 | 6 | 82/2 |
| 27 | 1 | 83/2 |
| 28 | 0 | 83/3 |
| 29 | 2 | 85/3 |
| 30 | 0 | 85/3 |
| 31 | 4 | 89/3 |
| 32 | 2 | 91/3 |
| 33 | 5 | 96/3 |
| 34 | 0 | 96/3 |
| 35 | 4 | 100/3 |
| 36 | 2 | 102/4 |
| 37 | 2 | 104/4 |
| 38 | 8 | 112/4 |
| 39 | 3 | 115/4 |
| 40 | 8 | 123/5 |
| 41 | 0 | 123/5 |
| 42 | 2 | 125/5 |
| 43 | 7 | 132/5 |
| 44 | 0 | 132/5 |
| 45 | 2 | 134/5 |
| 46 | 3 | 137/5 |
| 47 | 6 | 143/5 |
| 48 | 5 | 148/5 |
| 49 | 5 | 153/5 |
| 50 | 0 | 153/6 |
| 51 | 10 | 163/6 |
| 52 | 5 | 168/6 |
| 53 | 1 | 169/6 |
| 54 | 1 | 170/6 |
| 55 | 6 | 176/6 |
| 56 | 3 | 179/6 |
| 57 | 5 | 184/6 |
| 58 | 0 | 184/6 |
| 59 | 4 | 188/6 |
| 60 | 9 | 197/6 |
| 61 | 2 | 199/6 |
| 62 | 4 | 203/6 |
| 63 | 1 | 204/6 |
| 64 | 0 | 204/6 |
| 65 | 9 | 213/6 |
| 66 | 0 | 213/6 |
| 67 | 5 | 218/7 |
| 68 | 2 | 220/8 |
| 69 | 4 | 224/8 |
| 70 | 0 | 224/10 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Karun Nair: User:Vishu@2008 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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