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India tour of England · 2025 · Men
31 Jul 2025 · Test
The Oval · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 4
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zak Crawleybowled · Mohammed Siraj2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mohammed Siraj | 14 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 38.89 |
 Ben Duckettcaught · KL Rahul · Prasidh Krishna6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · KL Rahul · b Prasidh Krishna | 54 | 83 | 6 | 0 | 65.06 |
 Ollie Popelbw · Mohammed Siraj5 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mohammed Siraj | 27 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 79.41 |
 |
| caught · Dhruv Jurel · b Prasidh Krishna |
| 105 |
| 152 |
| 12 |
| 0 |
| 69.08 |
 Harry Brookcaught · Mohammed Siraj · Akash Deep14 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Mohammed Siraj · b Akash Deep | 111 | 98 | 14 | 2 | 113.27 |
|---|
| Jacob Bethellbowled · Prasidh Krishna 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Prasidh Krishna | 5 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 16.13 |
|---|
 Jamie Smithcaught · Dhruv Jurel · Mohammed Siraj0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dhruv Jurel · b Mohammed Siraj | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 10.00 |
|---|
 Jamie Overtonlbw · Mohammed Siraj2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mohammed Siraj | 9 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 52.94 |
|---|
| Gus Atkinsonbowled · Mohammed Siraj 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Mohammed Siraj | 17 | 29 | 0 | 1 | 58.62 |
|---|
| Josh Tonguebowled · Prasidh Krishna 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Prasidh Krishna | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Chris Woakesnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 9 · wides: 11 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akash Deep4 maidens · 10 wides · 1 no-balls | 20.0 | 4 | 85 | 1 | 4.25 | 10 | 1 |
| Prasidh Krishna3 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 27.0 | 3 | 126 | 4 | 4.67 | 1 | 0 |
 Mohammed Siraj6 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 30.1 | 6 | 104 | 5 | 3.45 | 0 | 0 |
 Washington Sundar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Ravindra Jadeja0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-50 (Zak Crawley, 13.5) · 2-82 (Ben Duckett, 22.4) · 3-106 (Ollie Pope, 27.3) · 4-301 (Harry Brook, 62.4) · 5-332 (Jacob Bethell, 70.4) · 6-337 (Joe Root, 73.0) · 7-347 (Jamie Smith, 77.3) · 8-354 (Jamie Overton, 79.5) · 9-357 (Josh Tongue, 83.0) · 10-367 (Gus Atkinson, 85.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 16/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 24/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 27/0 |
| 6 | 0 | 27/0 |
| 7 | 0 | 27/0 |
| 8 | 5 | 32/0 |
| 9 | 5 | 37/0 |
| 10 | 5 | 42/0 |
| 11 | 1 | 43/0 |
| 12 | 1 | 44/0 |
| 13 | 6 | 50/0 |
| 14 | 0 | 50/1 |
| 15 | 3 | 53/1 |
| 16 | 5 | 58/1 |
| 17 | 1 | 59/1 |
| 18 | 0 | 59/1 |
| 19 | 2 | 61/1 |
| 20 | 11 | 72/1 |
| 21 | 3 | 75/1 |
| 22 | 7 | 82/1 |
| 23 | 1 | 83/2 |
| 24 | 3 | 86/2 |
| 25 | 1 | 87/2 |
| 26 | 0 | 87/2 |
| 27 | 14 | 101/2 |
| 28 | 5 | 106/3 |
| 29 | 7 | 113/3 |
| 30 | 2 | 115/3 |
| 31 | 6 | 121/3 |
| 32 | 0 | 121/3 |
| 33 | 5 | 126/3 |
| 34 | 11 | 137/3 |
| 35 | 16 | 153/3 |
| 36 | 7 | 160/3 |
| 37 | 2 | 162/3 |
| 38 | 2 | 164/3 |
| 39 | 11 | 175/3 |
| 40 | 6 | 181/3 |
| 41 | 5 | 186/3 |
| 42 | 4 | 190/3 |
| 43 | 6 | 196/3 |
| 44 | 4 | 200/3 |
| 45 | 3 | 203/3 |
| 46 | 3 | 206/3 |
| 47 | 2 | 208/3 |
| 48 | 1 | 209/3 |
| 49 | 12 | 221/3 |
| 50 | 7 | 228/3 |
| 51 | 9 | 237/3 |
| 52 | 2 | 239/3 |
| 53 | 7 | 246/3 |
| 54 | 5 | 251/3 |
| 55 | 6 | 257/3 |
| 56 | 5 | 262/3 |
| 57 | 3 | 265/3 |
| 58 | 5 | 270/3 |
| 59 | 3 | 273/3 |
| 60 | 6 | 279/3 |
| 61 | 7 | 286/3 |
| 62 | 7 | 293/3 |
| 63 | 8 | 301/4 |
| 64 | 6 | 307/4 |
| 65 | 0 | 307/4 |
| 66 | 10 | 317/4 |
| 67 | 0 | 317/4 |
| 68 | 1 | 318/4 |
| 69 | 12 | 330/4 |
| 70 | 1 | 331/4 |
| 71 | 1 | 332/5 |
| 72 | 3 | 335/5 |
| 73 | 2 | 337/6 |
| 74 | 1 | 338/6 |
| 75 | 1 | 339/6 |
| 76 | 0 | 339/6 |
| 77 | 8 | 347/6 |
| 78 | 2 | 349/7 |
| 79 | 4 | 353/7 |
| 80 | 1 | 354/8 |
| 81 | 1 | 355/8 |
| 82 | 1 | 356/8 |
| 83 | 1 | 357/9 |
| 84 | 7 | 364/9 |
| 85 | 3 | 367/9 |
| 86 | 0 | 367/10 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Karun Nair: User:Vishu@2008 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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