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Photo: Marc Dalmulder from Hamlyn Terrace, Australia
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Women's Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Women
10 Nov 2024 · T20
Sydney Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Hobart Hurricanes started on 45%; Hobart Hurricanes batted first.
Hobart Hurricanes's chances ranged from 31% to 100% during the match (Perth Scorchers: 0% to 70%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
On 10 Nov 2024, Hobart Hurricanes played Perth Scorchers at Sydney Cricket Ground. Recorded result: Hobart Hurricanes won by 72 runs.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.