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ECA Men's European Cup · 2026 · Men
26 Jul 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Romania started on 47%; Romania batted first.
Romania's chances ranged from 0% to 57% during the match (Austria: 43% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taranjeet Singhcaught · Zeshan Arif · Aqib Iqbal 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zeshan Arif · b Aqib Iqbal | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 122.22 |
| Rohit Kumarcaught · KR Jha · Bilal Zalmai 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · KR Jha · b Bilal Zalmai | 19 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 90.48 |
| Irfan Ringkubowled · Maiwand Momand 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Maiwand Momand | 20 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 117.65 |
| V Sainilbw · Bilal Zalmai 3 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Bilal Zalmai | 25 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 156.25 |
| Avishka Iroshannot out 4 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 38* | 33 | 4 | 0 | 115.15 |
| Md Ariyancaught · Faridullah Shams · Waqar Zalmai0 fours · 2 sixes |
| caught · Faridullah Shams · b Waqar Zalmai |
| 20 |
| 20 |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 100.00 |
| Shahab Alam (2)caught · Faridullah Shams · Waqar Zalmai 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Faridullah Shams · b Waqar Zalmai | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| T Sandaruwannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aqib Iqbal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Baseer Khan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Bilal Zalmai1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 19 | 2 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Maiwand Momand0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
| AA Wagh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 12.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Waqar Zalmai0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-22 (Taranjeet Singh, 3.0) · 2-45 (Rohit Kumar, 6.5) · 3-65 (Irfan Ringku, 9.2) · 4-81 (V Saini, 12.1) · 5-129 (Md Ariyan, 18.2) · 6-133 (Shahab Alam (2), 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 22/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 23/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 30/1 |
| 6 | 12 | 42/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 46/2 |
| 8 | 7 | 53/2 |
| 9 | 12 | 65/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 72/3 |
| 11 | 3 | 75/3 |
| 12 | 6 | 81/3 |
| 13 | 0 | 81/4 |
| 14 | 3 | 84/4 |
| 15 | 8 | 92/4 |
| 16 | 22 | 114/4 |
| 17 | 4 | 118/4 |
| 18 | 10 | 128/4 |
| 19 | 5 | 133/6 |
| 20 | 9 | 142/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.