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ECA Men's European Cup · 2026 · Men
26 Jul 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Romania started on 47%; Romania batted first.
Romania's chances ranged from 0% to 57% during the match (Austria: 43% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karanbir Singhcaught · S Nadigotla · G Sanjeewa 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · S Nadigotla · b G Sanjeewa | 16 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 266.67 |
| Zeshan Arifcaught · V Saini · Irfan Ringku 5 fours · 6 sixes | caught · V Saini · b Irfan Ringku | 61 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 265.22 |
| Bilal Zalmaicaught · Shahab Alam (2) · Irfan Ringku 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shahab Alam (2) · b Irfan Ringku | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 88.89 |
| Shadnan Khanlbw · Nazmus Sakib (2) 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Nazmus Sakib (2) | 12 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
| Aqib Iqbalcaught · S Nadigotla · Irfan Ringku 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Nadigotla · b Irfan Ringku | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 125.00 |
| bowled · b Nazmus Sakib (2) |
| 2 |
| 16 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 12.50 |
| Baseer Khannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 9 | 0 | 0 | 88.89 |
|---|
| AA Waghcaught · V Saini · T Sandaruwan 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · V Saini · b T Sandaruwan | 16 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 145.45 |
|---|
| Maiwand Momandnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Khadka0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 22.00 | 2 | 0 |
| G Sanjeewa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.3 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 6.57 | 0 | 0 |
| Taranjeet Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Irfan Ringku0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
| V Saini0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 21.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Nazmus Sakib (2)0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 2.75 | 0 | 0 |
| T Sandaruwan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-32 (Karanbir Singh, 1.4) · 2-64 (Bilal Zalmai, 5.1) · 3-92 (Zeshan Arif, 7.1) · 4-106 (Aqib Iqbal, 9.4) · 5-116 (Shadnan Khan, 12.1) · 6-121 (KR Jha, 14.3) · 7-139 (AA Wagh, 16.4)
Recorded target: 143 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 22/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 33/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 38/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 47/1 |
| 5 | 17 | 64/1 |
| 6 | 7 | 71/2 |
| 7 | 21 | 92/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 100/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 104/3 |
| 10 | 2 | 106/4 |
| 11 | 3 | 109/4 |
| 12 | 7 | 116/4 |
| 13 | 3 | 119/5 |
| 14 | 1 | 120/5 |
| 15 | 1 | 121/6 |
| 16 | 17 | 138/6 |
| 17 | 3 | 141/7 |
| 18 | 2 | 143/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.