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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia & EAP Qualifier · 2025/26 · Men
8 Oct 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Oman more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Samoa started on 26%; Samoa batted first.
Samoa's chances ranged from 0% to 26% during the match (Oman: 74% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AR Odedaralbw · SF Tiai 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b SF Tiai | 15 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 107.14 |
| Aamir Kaleemcaught · SM Nash · CK Jasmat 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · SM Nash · b CK Jasmat | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Hammad Mirzabowled · SM Nash 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b SM Nash | 18 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 64.29 |
| AR Bishtcaught and bowled · DE Burgess 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b DE Burgess | 14 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 82.35 |
| Mohammad Nadeemnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 21* | 22 | 2 | 0 | 95.45 |
| Vinayak Shuklacaught · D Finau · SF Tiai0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · D Finau · b SF Tiai |
| 8 |
| 13 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 61.54 |
| Jiten Ramanandinot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 6 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ili Tugaga0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 6.00 | 4 | 0 |
| CK Jasmat0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 9.67 | 3 | 0 |
| SF Tiai0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
| SM Nash0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Darius Visser0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| DE Burgess0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (Aamir Kaleem, 1.2) · 2-30 (AR Odedara, 4.1) · 3-57 (AR Bisht, 9.5) · 4-59 (Hammad Mirza, 10.2) · 5-81 (Vinayak Shukla, 15.2)
Recorded target: 93 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 16/1 |
| 4 | 14 | 30/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 31/2 |
| 6 | 3 | 34/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 38/2 |
| 8 | 12 | 50/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 55/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 59/3 |
| 11 | 1 | 60/4 |
| 12 | 2 | 62/4 |
| 13 | 5 | 67/4 |
| 14 | 6 | 73/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 79/4 |
| 16 | 4 | 83/5 |
| 17 | 13 | 96/5 |
Ross Taylor: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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