OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: Marc Dalmulder from Hamlyn Terrace, Australia
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
The Ashes · 2025/26 · Men
4 Jan 2026 · Test
Sydney Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Travis Headlbw · Jacob Bethell24 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Jacob Bethell | 163 | 166 | 24 | 1 | 98.19 |
| Jake Weatheraldlbw · Ben Stokes 4 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ben Stokes | 21 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 58.33 |
 Marnus Labuschagnecaught · Jacob Bethell · Ben Stokes7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jacob Bethell · b Ben Stokes | 48 | 68 | 7 | 0 | 70.59 |
 Michael Neser |
| caught · Jamie Smith · b Brydon Carse |
| 24 |
| 90 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 26.67 |
 Steve Smithcaught · Jamie Smith · Josh Tongue16 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Josh Tongue | 138 | 220 | 16 | 1 | 62.73 |
|---|
 Usman Khawajalbw · Brydon Carse2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Brydon Carse | 17 | 49 | 2 | 0 | 34.69 |
|---|
 Alex Careycaught · Jacob Bethell · Josh Tongue3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jacob Bethell · b Josh Tongue | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 123.08 |
|---|
 Cameron Greencaught · Ben Duckett · Brydon Carse3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ben Duckett · b Brydon Carse | 37 | 64 | 3 | 1 | 57.81 |
|---|
 Beau Websternot out7 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 71* | 87 | 7 | 0 | 81.61 |
|---|
 Mitchell Starcbowled · Josh Tongue0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Josh Tongue | 5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 35.71 |
|---|
 Scott Bolandcaught · Harry Brook · Will Jacks0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Will Jacks | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 14 · wides: 4 · noballs: 5 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Brydon Carse2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 27.0 | 2 | 130 | 3 | 4.81 | 1 | 0 |
 Matthew Potts1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 25.0 | 1 | 141 | 0 | 5.64 | 2 | 0 |
| Josh Tongue0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 30.0 | 0 | 97 | 3 | 3.23 | 0 | 0 |
 Ben Stokes6 maidens · 0 wides · 5 no-balls | 27.4 | 6 | 95 | 2 | 3.43 | 0 | 5 |
 Will Jacks0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.5 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 3.85 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Bethell1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.2 | 1 | 52 | 1 | 3.39 | 1 | 0 |
1-57 (Jake Weatherald, 12.2) · 2-162 (Marnus Labuschagne, 31.0) · 3-234 (Michael Neser, 54.4) · 4-288 (Travis Head, 67.1) · 5-339 (Usman Khawaja, 83.4) · 6-366 (Alex Carey, 88.1) · 7-437 (Cameron Green, 106.3) · 8-544 (Steve Smith, 128.5) · 9-564 (Mitchell Starc, 133.0) · 10-567 (Scott Boland, 133.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 3/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 7/0 |
| 4 | 14 | 21/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 26/0 |
| 6 | 9 | 35/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 39/0 |
| 8 | 5 | 44/0 |
| 9 | 4 | 48/0 |
| 10 | 2 | 50/0 |
| 11 | 3 | 53/0 |
| 12 | 4 | 57/0 |
| 13 | 0 | 57/1 |
| 14 | 7 | 64/1 |
| 15 | 0 | 64/1 |
| 16 | 5 | 69/1 |
| 17 | 11 | 80/1 |
| 18 | 12 | 92/1 |
| 19 | 1 | 93/1 |
| 20 | 0 | 93/1 |
| 21 | 12 | 105/1 |
| 22 | 7 | 112/1 |
| 23 | 4 | 116/1 |
| 24 | 7 | 123/1 |
| 25 | 6 | 129/1 |
| 26 | 2 | 131/1 |
| 27 | 11 | 142/1 |
| 28 | 3 | 145/1 |
| 29 | 10 | 155/1 |
| 30 | 2 | 157/1 |
| 31 | 5 | 162/2 |
| 32 | 1 | 163/2 |
| 33 | 1 | 164/2 |
| 34 | 2 | 166/2 |
| 35 | 0 | 166/2 |
| 36 | 1 | 167/2 |
| 37 | 6 | 173/2 |
| 38 | 1 | 174/2 |
| 39 | 1 | 175/2 |
| 40 | 5 | 180/2 |
| 41 | 2 | 182/2 |
| 42 | 2 | 184/2 |
| 43 | 2 | 186/2 |
| 44 | 14 | 200/2 |
| 45 | 0 | 200/2 |
| 46 | 2 | 202/2 |
| 47 | 2 | 204/2 |
| 48 | 5 | 209/2 |
| 49 | 5 | 214/2 |
| 50 | 5 | 219/2 |
| 51 | 6 | 225/2 |
| 52 | 1 | 226/2 |
| 53 | 1 | 227/2 |
| 54 | 6 | 233/2 |
| 55 | 1 | 234/3 |
| 56 | 5 | 239/3 |
| 57 | 8 | 247/3 |
| 58 | 1 | 248/3 |
| 59 | 0 | 248/3 |
| 60 | 5 | 253/3 |
| 61 | 7 | 260/3 |
| 62 | 6 | 266/3 |
| 63 | 2 | 268/3 |
| 64 | 4 | 272/3 |
| 65 | 9 | 281/3 |
| 66 | 6 | 287/3 |
| 67 | 1 | 288/3 |
| 68 | 0 | 288/4 |
| 69 | 11 | 299/4 |
| 70 | 2 | 301/4 |
| 71 | 5 | 306/4 |
| 72 | 1 | 307/4 |
| 73 | 1 | 308/4 |
| 74 | 3 | 311/4 |
| 75 | 4 | 315/4 |
| 76 | 2 | 317/4 |
| 77 | 0 | 317/4 |
| 78 | 1 | 318/4 |
| 79 | 4 | 322/4 |
| 80 | 2 | 324/4 |
| 81 | 4 | 328/4 |
| 82 | 8 | 336/4 |
| 83 | 1 | 337/4 |
| 84 | 6 | 343/5 |
| 85 | 1 | 344/5 |
| 86 | 12 | 356/5 |
| 87 | 2 | 358/5 |
| 88 | 8 | 366/5 |
| 89 | 2 | 368/6 |
| 90 | 6 | 374/6 |
| 91 | 3 | 377/6 |
| 92 | 4 | 381/6 |
| 93 | 2 | 383/6 |
| 94 | 6 | 389/6 |
| 95 | 5 | 394/6 |
| 96 | 1 | 395/6 |
| 97 | 1 | 396/6 |
| 98 | 11 | 407/6 |
| 99 | 4 | 411/6 |
| 100 | 3 | 414/6 |
| 101 | 10 | 424/6 |
| 102 | 5 | 429/6 |
| 103 | 0 | 429/6 |
| 104 | 3 | 432/6 |
| 105 | 1 | 433/6 |
| 106 | 2 | 435/6 |
| 107 | 4 | 439/7 |
| 108 | 2 | 441/7 |
| 109 | 5 | 446/7 |
| 110 | 5 | 451/7 |
| 111 | 6 | 457/7 |
| 112 | 2 | 459/7 |
| 113 | 4 | 463/7 |
| 114 | 2 | 465/7 |
| 115 | 2 | 467/7 |
| 116 | 3 | 470/7 |
| 117 | 11 | 481/7 |
| 118 | 5 | 486/7 |
| 119 | 6 | 492/7 |
| 120 | 1 | 493/7 |
| 121 | 11 | 504/7 |
| 122 | 7 | 511/7 |
| 123 | 3 | 514/7 |
| 124 | 4 | 518/7 |
| 125 | 6 | 524/7 |
| 126 | 7 | 531/7 |
| 127 | 4 | 535/7 |
| 128 | 7 | 542/7 |
| 129 | 2 | 544/8 |
| 130 | 6 | 550/8 |
| 131 | 3 | 553/8 |
| 132 | 7 | 560/8 |
| 133 | 4 | 564/9 |
| 134 | 3 | 567/10 |
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Brydon Carse: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Usman Khawaja: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Michael Neser: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Steve Smith: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Scott Boland: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Cameron Green: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
_(Marnus_Labuschagne_cropped).jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
_(cropped).jpg){kind=link}