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Malaysia Women tour of Japan · 2026 · Women
13 Sept 2026 · T20
Sano International Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Japan started on 50%; Japan batted first.
Japan's chances ranged from 51% to 98% during the match (Malaysia: 2% to 49%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ainna Hamizah Hashimbowled · Nonoha Yasumoto 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nonoha Yasumoto | 8 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 57.14 |
| Wan Juliabowled · A Chandel 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b A Chandel | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Winifred Duraisingamrun out · H Iwasaki, S Kato · S Kato 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · H Iwasaki, S Kato | 7 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 58.33 |
| Mahirah Ismailcaught · H Iwasaki · Nonoha Yasumoto 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · H Iwasaki · b Nonoha Yasumoto | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Mas Elysabowled · S Kato 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b S Kato | 11 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 91.67 |
| caught · Mai Yanagida · b M Kaswan |
| 8 |
| 12 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
| Nurin Imaninacaught · H Iwasaki · A Fujikawa 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · H Iwasaki · b A Fujikawa | 10 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 62.50 |
|---|
| Nur Dania Syuhadalbw · M Kaswan 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b M Kaswan | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 85.71 |
|---|
| Dhanusri Muhunannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 17* | 19 | 0 | 0 | 89.47 |
|---|
| Nur Qalyshabowled · A Chandel 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b A Chandel | 8 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Aisya Eleesabowled · A Chandel 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b A Chandel | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 7 · noballs: 7 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Chandel0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.5 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 5.65 | 2 | 1 |
| Nonoha Yasumoto0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| S Kato0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 1 |
| A Fujikawa0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 4 | 0 |
| M Kaswan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| M Ogawa0 maidens · 0 wides · 5 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 5 |
1-2 (Wan Julia, 0.5) · 2-17 (Ainna Hamizah Hashim, 3.5) · 3-21 (Mahirah Ismail, 5.1) · 4-27 (Winifred Duraisingam, 6.3) · 5-38 (Mas Elysa, 8.3) · 6-56 (Nurin Imanina, 12.0) · 7-56 (Nur Arianna Natsya, 12.1) · 8-68 (Nur Dania Syuhada, 14.5) · 9-94 (Nur Qalysha, 17.4) · 10-94 (Aisya Eleesa, 17.5)
Recorded target: 106 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 4 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 15/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 17/2 |
| 5 | 4 | 21/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 25/3 |
| 7 | 3 | 28/4 |
| 8 | 9 | 37/4 |
| 9 | 5 | 42/5 |
| 10 | 6 | 48/5 |
| 11 | 5 | 53/5 |
| 12 | 3 | 56/6 |
| 13 | 3 | 59/7 |
| 14 | 4 | 63/7 |
| 15 | 5 | 68/8 |
| 16 | 12 | 80/8 |
| 17 | 9 | 89/8 |
| 18 | 5 | 94/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.