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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia & EAP Qualifier · 2025/26 · Men
10 Oct 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Malaysia started on 46%; Malaysia batted first.
Malaysia's chances ranged from 1% to 65% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 35% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waseem Muhammadbowled · Arif Ullah 9 fours · 4 sixes | bowled · b Arif Ullah | 84 | 53 | 9 | 4 | 158.49 |
| Muhammad Arfancaught · Virandeep Singh · Syed Aziz 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Virandeep Singh · b Syed Aziz | 11 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 137.50 |
 Alishan Sharafucaught · Muhammad Amir · Syed Aziz2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Muhammad Amir · b Syed Aziz | 34 | 31 | 2 | 1 | 109.68 |
| H Kaushiknot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 18* | 16 | 0 | 1 | 112.50 |
| Rahul Chopracaught · Virandeep Singh · Vijay Unni 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Virandeep Singh · b Vijay Unni |
| 3 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Basil Hameednot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 12* | 5 | 1 | 1 | 240.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syed Aziz0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 6.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Arif Ullah0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 50 | 1 | 12.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Sharvin Muniandy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Vijay Unni0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Khizar Hayat0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 13.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Virandeep Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-23 (Muhammad Arfan, 2.5) · 2-117 (Alishan Sharafu, 14.4) · 3-139 (Waseem Muhammad, 16.3) · 4-145 (Rahul Chopra, 17.5)
Recorded target: 162 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 23/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 26/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 34/1 |
| 6 | 15 | 49/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 52/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 57/1 |
| 9 | 11 | 68/1 |
| 10 | 6 | 74/1 |
| 11 | 11 | 85/1 |
| 12 | 6 | 91/1 |
| 13 | 10 | 101/1 |
| 14 | 13 | 114/1 |
| 15 | 9 | 123/2 |
| 16 | 6 | 129/2 |
| 17 | 14 | 143/3 |
| 18 | 3 | 146/4 |
| 19 | 15 | 161/4 |
| 20 | 6 | 167/4 |
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
