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Germany Women's T20I Tri-Series · 2024 · Women
26 Jul 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Germany more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Germany started on 65%; Germany batted first.
Germany's chances ranged from 6% to 99% during the match (Jersey: 1% to 94%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aimee Aikenheadrun out · Sharanya Sadarangani, Karthika Vijayaraghavan · Anuradha Doddaballapur 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Sharanya Sadarangani, Karthika Vijayaraghavan | 13 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 81.25 |
| Analise Merrittcaught · Anne Bierwisch · Anuradha Doddaballapur 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Anne Bierwisch · b Anuradha Doddaballapur | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 225.00 |
| Charlie Milesrun out · Stephanie Frohnmayer · Anuradha Doddaballapur 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Stephanie Frohnmayer | 8 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 53.33 |
| Trinity Smithcaught · Anne Bierwisch · Janet Ronalds 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Anne Bierwisch · b Janet Ronalds | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 22.22 |
| R Bowleylbw · Janet Ronalds 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Janet Ronalds | 1 | 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Lily Greigcaught · Karthika Vijayaraghavan · A Kohli 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Karthika Vijayaraghavan · b A Kohli | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Grace Wetheralllbw · Janet Ronalds 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Janet Ronalds | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
|---|
| Chloe Greechanstumped · Karthika Vijayaraghavan · Janet Ronalds 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Karthika Vijayaraghavan · b Janet Ronalds | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Erin Gougerun out · Anne Bierwisch, MS Beresford · MS Beresford 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Anne Bierwisch, MS Beresford | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 30.00 |
|---|
| Mia Maguirenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
| Florence Tanguybowled · A Kohli 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b A Kohli | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Frohnmayer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Anuradha Doddaballapur0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 3.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Janet Ronalds0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 |
| A Kohli0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| MS Beresford0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-12 (Analise Merritt, 1.2) · 2-32 (Aimee Aikenhead, 5.3) · 3-33 (Charlie Miles, 6.0) · 4-35 (R Bowley, 6.3) · 5-38 (Trinity Smith, 8.3) · 6-40 (Lily Greig, 9.3) · 7-43 (Chloe Greechan, 10.2) · 8-44 (Grace Wetherall, 11.0) · 9-50 (Erin Gouge, 12.5) · 10-54 (Florence Tanguy, 14.0)
Recorded target: 83 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 19/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 24/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 28/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 33/3 |
| 7 | 2 | 35/4 |
| 8 | 2 | 37/4 |
| 9 | 2 | 39/5 |
| 10 | 4 | 43/6 |
| 11 | 1 | 44/8 |
| 12 | 2 | 46/8 |
| 13 | 5 | 51/9 |
| 14 | 3 | 54/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.