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England tour of India · 2023/24 · Men
15 Feb 2024 · Test
Saurashtra Cricket Association Stadium, Rajkot · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 4
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zak Crawleylbw · Jasprit Bumrah2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jasprit Bumrah | 11 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 42.31 |
 Ben Duckettrun out · Dhruv Jurel, Mohammed Siraj · Jasprit Bumrah0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Dhruv Jurel, Mohammed Siraj | 4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 26.67 |
 Ollie Popecaught · Rohit Sharma · Ravindra Jadeja0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rohit Sharma · b Ravindra Jadeja | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 21.43 |
| lbw · b Ravindra Jadeja |
| 7 |
| 40 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 17.50 |
 Jonny Bairstowlbw · Ravindra Jadeja1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ravindra Jadeja | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
 Ben Stokeslbw · Kuldeep Yadav1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Kuldeep Yadav | 15 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 38.46 |
|---|
 Ben Foakescaught · Dhruv Jurel · Ravindra Jadeja2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dhruv Jurel · b Ravindra Jadeja | 16 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 41.03 |
|---|
 Rehan Ahmedcaught · Mohammed Siraj · Kuldeep Yadav0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammed Siraj · b Kuldeep Yadav | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Tom Hartleybowled · Ravichandran Ashwin2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Ravichandran Ashwin | 16 | 36 | 2 | 1 | 44.44 |
|---|
 Mark Woodcaught · Yashasvi Jaiswal · Ravindra Jadeja6 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Yashasvi Jaiswal · b Ravindra Jadeja | 33 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 220.00 |
|---|
 James Andersonnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11.11 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 0 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jasprit Bumrah1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 2.25 | 0 | 1 |
 Mohammed Siraj2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 3.20 | 0 | 0 |
 Ravindra Jadeja4 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 12.4 | 4 | 41 | 5 | 3.24 | 0 | 2 |
 Kuldeep Yadav2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 2 | 19 | 2 | 2.38 | 0 | 0 |
 Ravichandran Ashwin3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 3 | 19 | 1 | 3.17 | 0 | 0 |
1-15 (Ben Duckett, 6.1) · 2-18 (Zak Crawley, 8.2) · 3-20 (Ollie Pope, 9.4) · 4-28 (Jonny Bairstow, 11.1) · 5-50 (Joe Root, 21.5) · 6-50 (Ben Stokes, 22.5) · 7-50 (Rehan Ahmed, 24.4) · 8-82 (Ben Foakes, 35.5) · 9-91 (Tom Hartley, 36.1) · 10-122 (Mark Wood, 39.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 9/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 10/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 15/0 |
| 7 | 3 | 18/1 |
| 8 | 0 | 18/1 |
| 9 | 2 | 20/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 24/3 |
| 11 | 4 | 28/3 |
| 12 | 1 | 29/4 |
| 13 | 3 | 32/4 |
| 14 | 1 | 33/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 38/4 |
| 16 | 3 | 41/4 |
| 17 | 0 | 41/4 |
| 18 | 1 | 42/4 |
| 19 | 7 | 49/4 |
| 20 | 0 | 49/4 |
| 21 | 1 | 50/4 |
| 22 | 0 | 50/5 |
| 23 | 0 | 50/6 |
| 24 | 0 | 50/6 |
| 25 | 0 | 50/7 |
| 26 | 1 | 51/7 |
| 27 | 2 | 53/7 |
| 28 | 0 | 53/7 |
| 29 | 8 | 61/7 |
| 30 | 12 | 73/7 |
| 31 | 2 | 75/7 |
| 32 | 0 | 75/7 |
| 33 | 1 | 76/7 |
| 34 | 1 | 77/7 |
| 35 | 5 | 82/7 |
| 36 | 9 | 91/8 |
| 37 | 0 | 91/9 |
| 38 | 23 | 114/9 |
| 39 | 6 | 120/9 |
| 40 | 2 | 122/10 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
James Anderson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Mark Wood: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rehan Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Foakes: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rohit Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravichandran Ashwin: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 3.0
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kuldeep Yadav: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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