Los Angeles Knight RidersversusWashington Freedom

14 Jul 2024 · T20

Recorded result

Washington Freedom won by 8 wickets

Los Angeles Knight Riders18.4 overs129/10 Washington Freedom16.0 overs130/2 Church Street Park, Morrisville ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Los Angeles Knight Riders started on 37%; Los Angeles Knight Riders batted first.

Los Angeles Knight Riders’s chance of winning (%) · Washington Freedom is the rest

Los Angeles Knight Riders's chances ranged from 0% to 46% during the match (Washington Freedom: 54% to 100%).

Biggest swings

1.1: SN Netravalkar to SP Narine, SP Narine out. Washington Freedom up from 55% to 65%.
2.3: GJ Maxwell to Shakib Al Hasan, Shakib Al Hasan out. Washington Freedom up from 74% to 84%.
9.4: R Ravindra to Saif Badar, Saif Badar out. Washington Freedom up from 72% to 81%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Los Angeles Knight Riders129/10 Washington Freedom130/2

Innings 1