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West Indies tour of New Zealand · 2025/26 · Men
18 Dec 2025 · Test
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui · Venue photographRecorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Roston Chase · b Kemar Roach | 137 | 246 | 15 | 1 | 55.69 |
| Devon Conwaylbw · Justin Greaves 31 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Justin Greaves | 227 | 367 | 31 | 0 | 61.85 |
3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tevin Imlach · b Jayden Seales | 17 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 68.00 |
| caught · Tevin Imlach · b Justin Greaves |
| 31 |
| 60 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 51.67 |
6 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 72* | 106 | 6 | 2 | 67.92 |
|---|
| Daryl Mitchellcaught · Tevin Imlach · Roston Chase 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tevin Imlach · b Roston Chase | 11 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 36.67 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tevin Imlach · b Jayden Seales | 4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
|---|
| Glenn Phillipscaught · Roston Chase · Anderson Phillip 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Roston Chase · b Anderson Phillip | 29 | 49 | 4 | 0 | 59.18 |
|---|
| Zakary Foulkesbowled · Anderson Phillip 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Anderson Phillip | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
3 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 30* | 30 | 3 | 2 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 10 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.0 | 3 | 63 | 1 | 3.32 | 0 | 0 | |
| Jayden Seales4 maidens · 8 wides · 0 no-balls | 33.0 | 4 | 100 | 2 | 3.03 | 8 | 0 |
| Anderson Phillip4 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 29.0 | 4 | 154 | 2 | 5.31 | 0 | 1 |
| Justin Greaves4 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 29.0 | 4 | 83 | 2 | 2.86 | 1 | 0 |
| 44.0 | 1 | 159 | 1 | 3.61 | 1 | 1 | |
| Kavem Hodge0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-323 (Tom Latham, 86.4) · 2-350 (Jacob Duffy, 93.4) · 3-419 (Kane Williamson, 114.1) · 4-432 (Devon Conway, 121.0) · 5-455 (Daryl Mitchell, 129.2) · 6-461 (Tom Blundell, 132.5) · 7-522 (Glenn Phillips, 147.0) · 8-536 (Zakary Foulkes, 148.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 5/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 8/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 10/0 |
| 6 | 0 | 10/0 |
| 7 | 0 | 10/0 |
| 8 | 1 | 11/0 |
| 9 | 5 | 16/0 |
| 10 | 8 | 24/0 |
| 11 | 2 | 26/0 |
| 12 | 2 | 28/0 |
| 13 | 4 | 32/0 |
| 14 | 15 | 47/0 |
| 15 | 4 | 51/0 |
| 16 | 4 | 55/0 |
| 17 | 0 | 55/0 |
| 18 | 2 | 57/0 |
| 19 | 0 | 57/0 |
| 20 | 8 | 65/0 |
| 21 | 6 | 71/0 |
| 22 | 2 | 73/0 |
| 23 | 1 | 74/0 |
| 24 | 2 | 76/0 |
| 25 | 5 | 81/0 |
| 26 | 1 | 82/0 |
| 27 | 0 | 82/0 |
| 28 | 1 | 83/0 |
| 29 | 3 | 86/0 |
| 30 | 5 | 91/0 |
| 31 | 12 | 103/0 |
| 32 | 8 | 111/0 |
| 33 | 7 | 118/0 |
| 34 | 7 | 125/0 |
| 35 | 4 | 129/0 |
| 36 | 9 | 138/0 |
| 37 | 1 | 139/0 |
| 38 | 9 | 148/0 |
| 39 | 1 | 149/0 |
| 40 | 1 | 150/0 |
| 41 | 1 | 151/0 |
| 42 | 5 | 156/0 |
| 43 | 4 | 160/0 |
| 44 | 5 | 165/0 |
| 45 | 4 | 169/0 |
| 46 | 4 | 173/0 |
| 47 | 1 | 174/0 |
| 48 | 4 | 178/0 |
| 49 | 1 | 179/0 |
| 50 | 6 | 185/0 |
| 51 | 5 | 190/0 |
| 52 | 5 | 195/0 |
| 53 | 4 | 199/0 |
| 54 | 3 | 202/0 |
| 55 | 3 | 205/0 |
| 56 | 8 | 213/0 |
| 57 | 3 | 216/0 |
| 58 | 3 | 219/0 |
| 59 | 2 | 221/0 |
| 60 | 1 | 222/0 |
| 61 | 6 | 228/0 |
| 62 | 0 | 228/0 |
| 63 | 10 | 238/0 |
| 64 | 4 | 242/0 |
| 65 | 5 | 247/0 |
| 66 | 6 | 253/0 |
| 67 | 2 | 255/0 |
| 68 | 5 | 260/0 |
| 69 | 5 | 265/0 |
| 70 | 7 | 272/0 |
| 71 | 3 | 275/0 |
| 72 | 3 | 278/0 |
| 73 | 3 | 281/0 |
| 74 | 5 | 286/0 |
| 75 | 0 | 286/0 |
| 76 | 4 | 290/0 |
| 77 | 0 | 290/0 |
| 78 | 1 | 291/0 |
| 79 | 5 | 296/0 |
| 80 | 4 | 300/0 |
| 81 | 2 | 302/0 |
| 82 | 6 | 308/0 |
| 83 | 4 | 312/0 |
| 84 | 1 | 313/0 |
| 85 | 5 | 318/0 |
| 86 | 4 | 322/0 |
| 87 | 1 | 323/1 |
| 88 | 1 | 324/1 |
| 89 | 6 | 330/1 |
| 90 | 4 | 334/1 |
| 91 | 5 | 339/1 |
| 92 | 5 | 344/1 |
| 93 | 5 | 349/1 |
| 94 | 1 | 350/2 |
| 95 | 3 | 353/2 |
| 96 | 2 | 355/2 |
| 97 | 0 | 355/2 |
| 98 | 1 | 356/2 |
| 99 | 3 | 359/2 |
| 100 | 0 | 359/2 |
| 101 | 4 | 363/2 |
| 102 | 8 | 371/2 |
| 103 | 0 | 371/2 |
| 104 | 7 | 378/2 |
| 105 | 4 | 382/2 |
| 106 | 2 | 384/2 |
| 107 | 0 | 384/2 |
| 108 | 3 | 387/2 |
| 109 | 2 | 389/2 |
| 110 | 1 | 390/2 |
| 111 | 10 | 400/2 |
| 112 | 7 | 407/2 |
| 113 | 9 | 416/2 |
| 114 | 3 | 419/2 |
| 115 | 1 | 420/3 |
| 116 | 1 | 421/3 |
| 117 | 3 | 424/3 |
| 118 | 3 | 427/3 |
| 119 | 1 | 428/3 |
| 120 | 2 | 430/3 |
| 121 | 2 | 432/4 |
| 122 | 5 | 437/4 |
| 123 | 2 | 439/4 |
| 124 | 3 | 442/4 |
| 125 | 6 | 448/4 |
| 126 | 4 | 452/4 |
| 127 | 0 | 452/4 |
| 128 | 2 | 454/4 |
| 129 | 1 | 455/4 |
| 130 | 3 | 458/5 |
| 131 | 0 | 458/5 |
| 132 | 3 | 461/5 |
| 133 | 1 | 462/6 |
| 134 | 2 | 464/6 |
| 135 | 8 | 472/6 |
| 136 | 2 | 474/6 |
| 137 | 7 | 481/6 |
| 138 | 0 | 481/6 |
| 139 | 2 | 483/6 |
| 140 | 3 | 486/6 |
| 141 | 8 | 494/6 |
| 142 | 1 | 495/6 |
| 143 | 5 | 500/6 |
| 144 | 5 | 505/6 |
| 145 | 3 | 508/6 |
| 146 | 3 | 511/6 |
| 147 | 11 | 522/7 |
| 148 | 14 | 536/7 |
| 149 | 0 | 536/8 |
| 150 | 2 | 538/8 |
| 151 | 5 | 543/8 |
| 152 | 3 | 546/8 |
| 153 | 10 | 556/8 |
| 154 | 7 | 563/8 |
| 155 | 12 | 575/8 |
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ajaz Patel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kemar Roach: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.