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West Indies tour of New Zealand · 2025/26 · Men
18 Dec 2025 · Test
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui · Venue photographRecorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Campbellcaught · Tom Latham · Jacob Duffy 7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Latham · b Jacob Duffy | 45 | 67 | 7 | 0 | 67.16 |
| Brandon Kingbowled · Jacob Duffy 10 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jacob Duffy | 63 | 104 | 10 | 0 | 60.58 |
| Kavem Hodgenot out 15 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 123* | 275 | 15 | 0 | 44.73 |
| Tevin Imlachcaught · Tom Blundell · Michael Rae 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tom Blundell · b Michael Rae | 27 | 67 | 2 | 1 | 40.30 |
| Alick Athanazebowled · Ajaz Patel 8 fours · 0 sixes |
| 45 |
| 57 |
| 8 |
| 0 |
| 78.95 |
| Justin Greaveslbw · Daryl Mitchell 6 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Daryl Mitchell | 43 | 69 | 6 | 0 | 62.32 |
|---|
 Roston Chaselbw · Ajaz Patel0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ajaz Patel | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
|---|
| Anderson Phillipcaught · Tom Blundell · Jacob Duffy 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Blundell · b Jacob Duffy | 17 | 64 | 2 | 0 | 26.56 |
|---|
 Shai Hopecaught · Zakary Foulkes · Jacob Duffy0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zakary Foulkes · b Jacob Duffy | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Jayden Sealesbowled · Ajaz Patel 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ajaz Patel | 15 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 28.30 |
|---|
 Kemar Roachcaught · Tom Blundell · Michael Rae0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Blundell · b Michael Rae | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 12 · wides: 21 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jacob Duffy8 maidens · 6 wides · 2 no-balls | 35.0 | 8 | 86 | 4 | 2.46 | 6 | 2 |
| Zakary Foulkes4 maidens · 10 wides · 0 no-balls | 20.0 | 4 | 82 | 0 | 4.10 | 10 | 0 |
| Michael Rae1 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 21.2 | 1 | 89 | 2 | 4.17 | 5 | 0 |
 Ajaz Patel5 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 41.0 | 5 | 113 | 3 | 2.76 | 0 | 0 |
| Glenn Phillips0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Daryl Mitchell1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-111 (John Campbell, 25.0) · 2-140 (Brandon King, 34.1) · 3-206 (Tevin Imlach, 55.2) · 4-267 (Alick Athanaze, 71.4) · 5-348 (Justin Greaves, 94.4) · 6-351 (Roston Chase, 97.1) · 7-386 (Anderson Phillip, 114.3) · 8-390 (Shai Hope, 116.2) · 9-419 (Jayden Seales, 127.5) · 10-420 (Kemar Roach, 128.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 8/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 18/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 20/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 25/0 |
| 7 | 9 | 34/0 |
| 8 | 4 | 38/0 |
| 9 | 8 | 46/0 |
| 10 | 7 | 53/0 |
| 11 | 6 | 59/0 |
| 12 | 5 | 64/0 |
| 13 | 8 | 72/0 |
| 14 | 9 | 81/0 |
| 15 | 7 | 88/0 |
| 16 | 1 | 89/0 |
| 17 | 3 | 92/0 |
| 18 | 3 | 95/0 |
| 19 | 4 | 99/0 |
| 20 | 1 | 100/0 |
| 21 | 2 | 102/0 |
| 22 | 4 | 106/0 |
| 23 | 4 | 110/0 |
| 24 | 0 | 110/0 |
| 25 | 1 | 111/1 |
| 26 | 1 | 112/1 |
| 27 | 6 | 118/1 |
| 28 | 8 | 126/1 |
| 29 | 1 | 127/1 |
| 30 | 0 | 127/1 |
| 31 | 6 | 133/1 |
| 32 | 4 | 137/1 |
| 33 | 2 | 139/1 |
| 34 | 1 | 140/1 |
| 35 | 0 | 140/2 |
| 36 | 1 | 141/2 |
| 37 | 1 | 142/2 |
| 38 | 1 | 143/2 |
| 39 | 3 | 146/2 |
| 40 | 13 | 159/2 |
| 41 | 1 | 160/2 |
| 42 | 0 | 160/2 |
| 43 | 12 | 172/2 |
| 44 | 6 | 178/2 |
| 45 | 1 | 179/2 |
| 46 | 1 | 180/2 |
| 47 | 6 | 186/2 |
| 48 | 6 | 192/2 |
| 49 | 2 | 194/2 |
| 50 | 4 | 198/2 |
| 51 | 1 | 199/2 |
| 52 | 4 | 203/2 |
| 53 | 3 | 206/2 |
| 54 | 0 | 206/2 |
| 55 | 0 | 206/2 |
| 56 | 2 | 208/3 |
| 57 | 1 | 209/3 |
| 58 | 10 | 219/3 |
| 59 | 0 | 219/3 |
| 60 | 1 | 220/3 |
| 61 | 4 | 224/3 |
| 62 | 2 | 226/3 |
| 63 | 2 | 228/3 |
| 64 | 2 | 230/3 |
| 65 | 4 | 234/3 |
| 66 | 2 | 236/3 |
| 67 | 3 | 239/3 |
| 68 | 6 | 245/3 |
| 69 | 1 | 246/3 |
| 70 | 5 | 251/3 |
| 71 | 10 | 261/3 |
| 72 | 6 | 267/4 |
| 73 | 3 | 270/4 |
| 74 | 3 | 273/4 |
| 75 | 11 | 284/4 |
| 76 | 4 | 288/4 |
| 77 | 2 | 290/4 |
| 78 | 4 | 294/4 |
| 79 | 9 | 303/4 |
| 80 | 3 | 306/4 |
| 81 | 3 | 309/4 |
| 82 | 1 | 310/4 |
| 83 | 0 | 310/4 |
| 84 | 5 | 315/4 |
| 85 | 0 | 315/4 |
| 86 | 7 | 322/4 |
| 87 | 1 | 323/4 |
| 88 | 8 | 331/4 |
| 89 | 4 | 335/4 |
| 90 | 0 | 335/4 |
| 91 | 2 | 337/4 |
| 92 | 4 | 341/4 |
| 93 | 3 | 344/4 |
| 94 | 0 | 344/4 |
| 95 | 6 | 350/5 |
| 96 | 1 | 351/5 |
| 97 | 0 | 351/5 |
| 98 | 0 | 351/6 |
| 99 | 1 | 352/6 |
| 100 | 2 | 354/6 |
| 101 | 1 | 355/6 |
| 102 | 4 | 359/6 |
| 103 | 2 | 361/6 |
| 104 | 0 | 361/6 |
| 105 | 6 | 367/6 |
| 106 | 3 | 370/6 |
| 107 | 2 | 372/6 |
| 108 | 2 | 374/6 |
| 109 | 1 | 375/6 |
| 110 | 0 | 375/6 |
| 111 | 0 | 375/6 |
| 112 | 0 | 375/6 |
| 113 | 6 | 381/6 |
| 114 | 5 | 386/6 |
| 115 | 1 | 387/7 |
| 116 | 1 | 388/7 |
| 117 | 4 | 392/8 |
| 118 | 6 | 398/8 |
| 119 | 0 | 398/8 |
| 120 | 1 | 399/8 |
| 121 | 2 | 401/8 |
| 122 | 1 | 402/8 |
| 123 | 6 | 408/8 |
| 124 | 2 | 410/8 |
| 125 | 1 | 411/8 |
| 126 | 3 | 414/8 |
| 127 | 4 | 418/8 |
| 128 | 1 | 419/9 |
| 129 | 1 | 420/10 |
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ajaz Patel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kemar Roach: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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