**Kingsmead, Durban**
Photo: The original uploader was PaddyBriggs at English Wikipedia.
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SA20 · 2025/26 · Men

Durban's Super GiantsversusJoburg Super Kings

30 Dec 2025 · T20

Kingsmead, Durban · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Joburg Super Kings won by 6 wickets

Durban's Super Giants17.1 overs86/10 Joburg Super Kings12.2 overs88/4 Kingsmead, Durban ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Durban's Super Giants started on 52%; Durban's Super Giants batted first.

Durban's Super Giants’s chance of winning (%) · Joburg Super Kings is the rest

Durban's Super Giants's chances ranged from 0% to 56% during the match (Joburg Super Kings: 44% to 100%).

Biggest swings

0.5: P Subrayen to DP Conway, DP Conway out. Joburg Super Kings up from 45% to 58%.
2.2: P Subrayen to KS Williamson, KS Williamson out. Joburg Super Kings up from 59% to 70%.
4.1: P Subrayen to JC Buttler, JC Buttler out. Joburg Super Kings up from 67% to 77%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Durban's Super Giants86/10 Joburg Super Kings88/4

Innings 1