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Women's T20 Quadrangular Series (in Thailand) · 2025/26 · Women
14 Nov 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Papua New Guinea more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Scotland started on 36%; Scotland batted first.
Scotland's chances ranged from 35% to 100% during the match (Papua New Guinea: 0% to 65%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konio Oalabowled · Katherine Fraser 3 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Katherine Fraser | 25 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 119.05 |
| Naoani Varecaught · Ellen Watson · Olivia Bell 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ellen Watson · b Olivia Bell | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Brenda Taucaught · Sarah Bryce · Abtaha Maqsood 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sarah Bryce · b Abtaha Maqsood | 3 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 17.65 |
| HJ Thomascaught · Darcey Carter · N Robertson-Jack 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Darcey Carter · b N Robertson-Jack | 6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
| Pauke Siakacaught · Darcey Carter · N Robertson-Jack 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Darcey Carter · b N Robertson-Jack | 20 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 125.00 |
| H Dorigabowled · Olivia Bell 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Olivia Bell | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Miria Raionot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 17* | 24 | 0 | 0 | 70.83 |
|---|
| Isabel Touacaught · Ailsa Lister · N Robertson-Jack 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ailsa Lister · b N Robertson-Jack | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Geua Tomrun out · Darcey Carter · Chloe Abel 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Darcey Carter | 7 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 53.85 |
|---|
| D Lohianot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 8 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N Robertson-Jack0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 4.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Olivia Bell1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 16 | 2 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Chloe Abel0 maidens · 4 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 5.00 | 4 | 1 |
| Katherine Fraser0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Abtaha Maqsood0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-11 (Naoani Vare, 3.1) · 2-32 (Konio Oala, 6.5) · 3-32 (Brenda Tau, 7.3) · 4-46 (HJ Thomas, 10.4) · 5-52 (H Doriga, 11.4) · 6-71 (Pauke Siaka, 15.1) · 7-73 (Isabel Toua, 16.0) · 8-86 (Geua Tom, 19.1)
Recorded target: 147 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 11/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 12/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 19/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 21/1 |
| 7 | 11 | 32/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 35/3 |
| 9 | 5 | 40/3 |
| 10 | 3 | 43/3 |
| 11 | 4 | 47/4 |
| 12 | 10 | 57/5 |
| 13 | 7 | 64/5 |
| 14 | 4 | 68/5 |
| 15 | 3 | 71/5 |
| 16 | 2 | 73/7 |
| 17 | 5 | 78/7 |
| 18 | 3 | 81/7 |
| 19 | 4 | 85/7 |
| 20 | 6 | 91/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.