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Photo: Kieran Connellan from Hamilton, New Zealand
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; display framing may vary.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2023/24 · Men
26 Jan 2024 · T20
Seddon Park, Hamilton · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 45%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 19% to 97% during the match (Canterbury: 3% to 81%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Bowescaught · Michael Bracewell · Ben Sears 6 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Michael Bracewell · b Ben Sears | 46 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 139.39 |
 Tom Lathamcaught · Logan van Beek · Nathan Smith0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Logan van Beek · b Nathan Smith | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Henry Nichollscaught · Adam Milne · Logan van Beek 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Adam Milne · b Logan van Beek | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
| Cole McConchiecaught · Michael Bracewell · Ben Sears 4 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Michael Bracewell · b Ben Sears | 53 | 38 | 4 | 3 | 139.47 |
| Mitchell Haycaught · Nick Kelly · Adam Milne 3 fours · 2 sixes |
| caught · Nick Kelly · b Adam Milne |
| 38 |
| 28 |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| 135.71 |
| Bevon Jacobscaught · Peter Younghusband · Rachin Ravindra 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Peter Younghusband · b Rachin Ravindra | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Zakary Foulkesnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 11* | 7 | 0 | 1 | 157.14 |
|---|
 Matt Henrynot out0 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 16* | 6 | 0 | 2 | 266.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 3 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Milne0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Smith0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 14.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Logan van Beek1 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 2 | 1 |
| Ben Sears0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 5.75 | 1 | 1 |
| Peter Younghusband0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 9.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Rachin Ravindra0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-10 (Tom Latham, 1.1) · 2-25 (Henry Nicholls, 2.5) · 3-71 (Chad Bowes, 9.5) · 4-108 (Cole McConchie, 14.0) · 5-122 (Bevon Jacobs, 15.1) · 6-151 (Mitchell Hay, 18.3)
Recorded target: 174 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 25/1 |
| 3 | 0 | 25/2 |
| 4 | 5 | 30/2 |
| 5 | 9 | 39/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 44/2 |
| 7 | 9 | 53/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 58/2 |
| 9 | 8 | 66/2 |
| 10 | 5 | 71/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 76/3 |
| 12 | 12 | 88/3 |
| 13 | 11 | 99/3 |
| 14 | 9 | 108/4 |
| 15 | 14 | 122/4 |
| 16 | 7 | 129/5 |
| 17 | 4 | 133/5 |
| 18 | 12 | 145/5 |
| 19 | 9 | 154/6 |
| 20 | 23 | 177/6 |
Kyle Jamieson: Photographer - David Hollander · CC BY 3.0 nz
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Muhammad Abbas: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Gareth Severin: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Ish Sodhi: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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