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ECA Women's European Cup · 2026/27 · Women
17 Oct 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Sweden more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Romania started on 28%; Romania batted first.
Romania's chances ranged from 0% to 31% during the match (Sweden: 69% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iuliana Munteancaught · Kanchan Rana · J Sasi Rekha 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kanchan Rana · b J Sasi Rekha | 25 | 52 | 2 | 0 | 48.08 |
| Niroshi Kuruppulbw · J Sasi Rekha 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b J Sasi Rekha | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
| Gabriela Ionitacaught · Eman Asim · Fatima Zahra 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Eman Asim · b Fatima Zahra | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 15.00 |
| Daria Tanasecaught · Kanchan Rana · Fatima Zahra 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kanchan Rana · b Fatima Zahra | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Alina Lupascucaught · Kanchan Rana · Fatima Zahra 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kanchan Rana · b Fatima Zahra | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 30.77 |
| bowled · b Malyun Mohamed Yusuf |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Herath Mudiyanselage Bandaranot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| S Batoriilbw · Malyun Mohamed Yusuf 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Malyun Mohamed Yusuf | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Eshaal Shakoorbowled · Malyun Mohamed Yusuf 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Malyun Mohamed Yusuf | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Stefania Slavastoncaught · Anoushka Vaidya · Malyun Mohamed Yusuf 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Anoushka Vaidya · b Malyun Mohamed Yusuf | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Daria Brinzeanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 13 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malyun Mohamed Yusuf2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 |
| A Vaidya0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2.50 | 2 | 1 |
| J Sasi Rekha0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 2.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Hareer Chamto0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 3.25 | 7 | 0 |
| Fatima Zahra0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 4.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Adan Gul1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Anoushka Vaidya1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-14 (Niroshi Kuruppu, 5.0) · 2-31 (Gabriela Ionita, 11.0) · 3-36 (Daria Tanase, 12.4) · 4-52 (Alina Lupascu, 16.4) · 5-55 (Iuliana Muntean, 17.2) · 6-55 (Cristina Cirlig, 18.1) · 7-55 (S Batorii, 18.2) · 8-55 (Eshaal Shakoor, 18.3) · 9-55 (Stefania Slavaston, 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 9/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 11/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 14/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 16/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 19/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 25/1 |
| 9 | 3 | 28/1 |
| 10 | 1 | 29/1 |
| 11 | 2 | 31/2 |
| 12 | 4 | 35/2 |
| 13 | 2 | 37/3 |
| 14 | 1 | 38/3 |
| 15 | 8 | 46/3 |
| 16 | 4 | 50/3 |
| 17 | 4 | 54/4 |
| 18 | 1 | 55/5 |
| 19 | 0 | 55/9 |
| 20 | 1 | 56/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.