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Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
13 Jul 2025 · T20
Old Trafford · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 43%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 2% to 51% during the match (Lancashire: 49% to 98%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Philip Saltbowled · Callum Parkinson0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Callum Parkinson | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Keaton Jenningsstumped · Ollie Robinson · Nathan Sowter 6 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Ollie Robinson · b Nathan Sowter | 42 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 127.27 |
 Jos Buttlercaught · Alex Lees · Matthew Potts1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Alex Lees · b Matthew Potts | 21 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 123.53 |
| Luke Wellscaught · Matthew Potts · Callum Parkinson 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Matthew Potts · b Callum Parkinson | 17 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 154.55 |
| caught and bowled · b James Neesham |
| 27 |
| 21 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 128.57 |
 Michael Jonescaught · James Neesham · Nathan Sowter0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · James Neesham · b Nathan Sowter | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Chris Greennot out3 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 31* | 16 | 3 | 2 | 193.75 |
|---|
| Jack Blatherwicklbw · James Neesham 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b James Neesham | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Tom Hartleynot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 7 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 7 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum Parkinson0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 9.00 | 5 | 0 |
 Matthew Potts0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| James Neesham0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 40 | 2 | 10.91 | 1 | 0 |
 Colin Ackermann0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Sowter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Kasey Aldridge0 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 12.00 | 1 | 2 |
1-2 (Philip Salt, 0.5) · 2-42 (Jos Buttler, 5.4) · 3-65 (Luke Wells, 8.1) · 4-107 (Keaton Jennings, 13.3) · 5-107 (Michael Jones, 13.5) · 6-128 (Ashton Turner, 16.2) · 7-129 (Jack Blatherwick, 16.3)
Recorded target: 156 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 3 | 5/1 |
| 3 | 17 | 22/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 27/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 37/1 |
| 6 | 10 | 47/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 51/2 |
| 8 | 14 | 65/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 72/3 |
| 10 | 11 | 83/3 |
| 11 | 8 | 91/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 95/3 |
| 13 | 10 | 105/3 |
| 14 | 2 | 107/5 |
| 15 | 13 | 120/5 |
| 16 | 4 | 124/5 |
| 17 | 10 | 134/7 |
| 18 | 10 | 144/7 |
| 19 | 12 | 156/7 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
James Anderson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Michael Jones: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jos Buttler: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Will Rhodes: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Philip Salt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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