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Asian Cricket Council Women's Premier Cup · 2023/24 · Women
10 Feb 2024 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 70%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 71% to 100% during the match (China: 0% to 29%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Meng Yaocaught · S Dharnidharka · S Kotte 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Dharnidharka · b S Kotte | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Zi Meibowled · S Kotte 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b S Kotte | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Han Lilicaught · Heena Hotchandani · Vaishnave Mahesh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Heena Hotchandani · b Vaishnave Mahesh | 11 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 44.00 |
| Huang Zhuolbw · Heena Hotchandani 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Heena Hotchandani | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 6.67 |
| M Zhucaught · Khushi Sharma · Kavisha Egodage 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Khushi Sharma · b Kavisha Egodage | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
| bowled · b Kavisha Egodage |
| 9 |
| 15 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 60.00 |
| Wenjing Yinbowled · Kavisha Egodage 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kavisha Egodage | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Zhi Xinyurun out · Theertha Satish, Mehak Thakur · Vaishnave Mahesh 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Theertha Satish, Mehak Thakur | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Mengting Liunot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 14 | 0 | 0 | 35.71 |
|---|
| Chen Xinyucaught · Theertha Satish · S Dharnidharka 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Theertha Satish · b S Dharnidharka | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
| Xu Qiancaught · Theertha Satish · S Dharnidharka 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Theertha Satish · b S Dharnidharka | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Kotte0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 1.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Esha Oza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Heena Hotchandani0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Vaishnave Mahesh1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 2.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Kavisha Egodage0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
| S Dharnidharka0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.20 | 1 | 0 |
1-1 (Sun Meng Yao, 1.0) · 2-10 (Zi Mei, 4.4) · 3-16 (Huang Zhuo, 9.0) · 4-16 (Han Lili, 9.4) · 5-25 (M Zhu, 12.3) · 6-25 (Wenjing Yin, 12.5) · 7-26 (Zhi Xinyu, 13.3) · 8-32 (Zheng Lili, 16.2) · 9-33 (Chen Xinyu, 17.2) · 10-34 (Xu Qian, 17.5)
Recorded target: 156 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 2 | 3/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 5/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 7/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 10/2 |
| 6 | 1 | 11/2 |
| 7 | 1 | 12/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 13/2 |
| 9 | 3 | 16/3 |
| 10 | 0 | 16/4 |
| 11 | 3 | 19/4 |
| 12 | 5 | 24/4 |
| 13 | 1 | 25/6 |
| 14 | 4 | 29/7 |
| 15 | 1 | 30/7 |
| 16 | 2 | 32/7 |
| 17 | 1 | 33/8 |
| 18 | 1 | 34/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.