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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Women · 2026 · Women
10 Jul 2026 · T20
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street · Venue photographRecorded result
Essex started on 33%; Essex batted first.
Essex's chances ranged from 34% to 99% during the match (Durham: 1% to 66%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Scrivenscaught · Hollie Armitage · Heather Graham 12 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hollie Armitage · b Heather Graham | 85 | 64 | 12 | 0 | 132.81 |
| Anne Boschbowled · Katherine Fraser 4 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Katherine Fraser | 48 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 129.73 |
 Sophia Smalebowled · Grace Thompson2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Grace Thompson | 14 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 155.56 |
| Jodi Grewcockrun out · Grace Thompson, Heather Graham · Heather Graham 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Grace Thompson, Heather Graham | 12 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Liberty Heapnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trudy Johnson0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 2 | 0 |
 Heather Graham0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Katherine Fraser0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Katie Levick0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 0 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Sophia Turner0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Grace Thompson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 1 | 9.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-94 (Anne Bosch, 13.1) · 2-114 (Sophia Smale, 15.2) · 3-158 (Jodi Grewcock, 19.2) · 4-162 (Grace Scrivens, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 21/0 |
| 5 | 13 | 34/0 |
| 6 | 7 | 41/0 |
| 7 | 14 | 55/0 |
| 8 | 3 | 58/0 |
| 9 | 6 | 64/0 |
| 10 | 8 | 72/0 |
| 11 | 9 | 81/0 |
| 12 | 6 | 87/0 |
| 13 | 7 | 94/0 |
| 14 | 5 | 99/1 |
| 15 | 11 | 110/1 |
| 16 | 8 | 118/2 |
| 17 | 7 | 125/2 |
| 18 | 16 | 141/2 |
| 19 | 12 | 153/2 |
| 20 | 9 | 162/4 |
Hollie Armitage: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Heather Graham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophia Smale: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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