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Photo: user:jguk
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Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
2 Jun 2024 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographSurrey started on 42%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 22% to 100% during the match (Somerset: 0% to 78%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Bantoncaught · Jamie Smith · Spencer Johnson 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Spencer Johnson | 11 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 84.62 |
| Will Smeedbowled · Spencer Johnson 2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Spencer Johnson | 20 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 166.67 |
1 fours · 3 sixes | run out · Sean Abbott | 25 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 250.00 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · b Sean Abbott | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| bowled · b Tom Curran |
| 12 |
| 7 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 171.43 |
| Tom Lammonbycaught · Spencer Johnson · Daniel Lawrence 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Spencer Johnson · b Daniel Lawrence | 19 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Ben Greenbowled · Tom Curran 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tom Curran | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · b Tom Curran | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 55.56 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Spencer Johnson · b Sean Abbott | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jordan Clark · b Sean Abbott | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Riley Meredithnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Johnson1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Gus Atkinson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
| 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 2.67 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cameron Steel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
| 2.4 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-16 (Tom Banton, 3.0) · 2-31 (Will Smeed, 4.2) · 3-54 (Tom Abell, 6.5) · 4-62 (Tom Kohler-Cadmore, 7.3) · 5-80 (Sean Dickson, 10.0) · 6-93 (Ben Green, 12.3) · 7-103 (Tom Lammonby, 13.4) · 8-106 (Roelof van der Merwe, 14.2) · 9-106 (Jake Ball, 15.0) · 10-106 (Craig Overton, 15.4)
Recorded target: 164 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 16/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 27/1 |
| 5 | 9 | 36/2 |
| 6 | 16 | 52/2 |
| 7 | 2 | 54/3 |
| 8 | 14 | 68/4 |
| 9 | 5 | 73/4 |
| 10 | 7 | 80/5 |
| 11 | 7 | 87/5 |
| 12 | 4 | 91/5 |
| 13 | 9 | 100/6 |
| 14 | 5 | 105/7 |
| 15 | 1 | 106/9 |
| 16 | 0 | 106/10 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Craig Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jake Ball: Dun.can · CC BY 2.0
Sean Dickson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Abell: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Kohler-Cadmore: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.