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Super Smash · 2025/26 · Men
28 Dec 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Canterbury started on 52%; Canterbury batted first.
Canterbury's chances ranged from 26% to 100% during the match (Otago: 0% to 74%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llew Johnsoncaught · Chad Bowes · Cole McConchie 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chad Bowes · b Cole McConchie | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Jamal Toddcaught · Matt Boyle · Cole McConchie 4 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Matt Boyle · b Cole McConchie | 53 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 220.83 |
 Max Chubowled · Cameron Paul1 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Cameron Paul | 38 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 131.03 |
| Glenn Phillipscaught · Matt Boyle · Sean Davey 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Matt Boyle · b Sean Davey | 24 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 120.00 |
| Jack Boylecaught · Chad Bowes · Sean Davey 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chad Bowes · b Sean Davey |
| 1 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 20.00 |
 Luke Georgesonnot out3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 23* | 15 | 3 | 0 | 153.33 |
|---|
| Jake Gibsoncaught · Tom Latham · Cameron Paul 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Latham · b Cameron Paul | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 140.00 |
|---|
| Ben Lockrosecaught and bowled · Ish Sodhi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Ish Sodhi | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Danru Fernsrun out · Sean Davey · Ish Sodhi 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Sean Davey | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Andrew Hazeldinebowled · Fraser Sheat 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Fraser Sheat | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Matthew Baconbowled · Cameron Paul 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Cameron Paul | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 0 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kyle Jamieson0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Fraser Sheat0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Cameron Paul0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 3 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Cole McConchie0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Ish Sodhi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Sean Davey0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 11.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-46 (Llew Johnson, 4.1) · 2-63 (Jamal Todd, 6.2) · 3-121 (Max Chu, 13.2) · 4-122 (Jack Boyle, 14.1) · 5-123 (Glenn Phillips, 14.3) · 6-132 (Jake Gibson, 15.5) · 7-133 (Ben Lockrose, 16.2) · 8-135 (Danru Ferns, 17.0) · 9-149 (Andrew Hazeldine, 19.0) · 10-160 (Matthew Bacon, 20.0)
Recorded target: 189 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 23 | 32/0 |
| 4 | 14 | 46/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 53/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 62/1 |
| 7 | 9 | 71/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 76/2 |
| 9 | 10 | 86/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 90/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 97/2 |
| 12 | 20 | 117/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 121/2 |
| 14 | 1 | 122/3 |
| 15 | 4 | 126/5 |
| 16 | 7 | 133/6 |
| 17 | 2 | 135/8 |
| 18 | 7 | 142/8 |
| 19 | 7 | 149/9 |
| 20 | 11 | 160/10 |
Max Chu: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kyle Jamieson: Photographer - David Hollander · CC BY 3.0 nz
Luke Georgeson: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Ish Sodhi: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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