Quetta GladiatorsversusIslamabad United

21 May 2025 · T20

Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Quetta Gladiators won by 30 runs

Quetta Gladiators20.0 overs209/6 Islamabad United19.4 overs179/10 Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Quetta Gladiators started on 49%; Quetta Gladiators batted first.

Quetta Gladiators’s chance of winning (%) · Islamabad United is the rest

Quetta Gladiators's chances ranged from 45% to 100% during the match (Islamabad United: 0% to 55%).

Biggest swings

1.3: BJ Dwarshuis to Saud Shakeel, Saud Shakeel out. Islamabad United up from 42% to 54%.
5.5: Salman Irshad to Hassan Nawaz, Hassan Nawaz out. Islamabad United up from 34% to 44%.
11.5: Shadab Khan to WIA Fernando, WIA Fernando out. Islamabad United up from 39% to 51%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Quetta Gladiators209/6 Islamabad United179/10

Innings 1