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Photo: user:jguk
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Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
7 Jun 2024 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographSussex started on 36%; Sussex batted first.
Sussex's chances ranged from 25% to 100% during the match (Surrey: 0% to 76%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurie Evansbowled · Ollie Robinson 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Ollie Robinson | 12 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 100.00 |
 Daniel Lawrencecaught · Fynn Hudson-Prentice · Nathan McAndrew1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Fynn Hudson-Prentice · b Nathan McAndrew | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
 Jason Roycaught · Fynn Hudson-Prentice · Archie Lenham3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Fynn Hudson-Prentice · b Archie Lenham | 26 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 118.18 |
 Ollie Popenot out10 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 99* | 59 | 10 |
| 3 |
| 167.80 |
 Jamie Smithcaught · Fynn Hudson-Prentice · James Coles0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Fynn Hudson-Prentice · b James Coles | 18 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 225.00 |
|---|
 Jordan Clarkcaught · James Coles · Nathan McAndrew0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · James Coles · b Nathan McAndrew | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
 Tom Currancaught · James Coles · Nathan McAndrew0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · James Coles · b Nathan McAndrew | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Sean Abbottrun out · Oli Carter · Nathan McAndrew0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Oli Carter | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Cameron Steelnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 1 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ollie Robinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| James Coles0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan McAndrew0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 3 | 8.00 | 0 | 2 |
 Tymal Mills0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 9.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Archie Lenham0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 11.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Jack Carson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-18 (Laurie Evans, 2.3) · 2-22 (Daniel Lawrence, 3.2) · 3-95 (Jason Roy, 12.2) · 4-137 (Jamie Smith, 15.0) · 5-143 (Jordan Clark, 16.1) · 6-143 (Tom Curran, 16.2) · 7-165 (Sean Abbott, 18.2)
Recorded target: 214 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 22/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 27/2 |
| 5 | 9 | 36/2 |
| 6 | 11 | 47/2 |
| 7 | 11 | 58/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 62/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 66/2 |
| 10 | 11 | 77/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 82/2 |
| 12 | 12 | 94/2 |
| 13 | 20 | 114/3 |
| 14 | 15 | 129/3 |
| 15 | 8 | 137/4 |
| 16 | 6 | 143/4 |
| 17 | 5 | 148/6 |
| 18 | 9 | 157/6 |
| 19 | 11 | 168/7 |
| 20 | 9 | 177/7 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Fynn Hudson-Prentice: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Carson: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Ollie Robinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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