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ECA Men's European Cup · 2026 · Men
25 Jul 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Romania more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
France started on 41%; France batted first.
France's chances ranged from 0% to 52% during the match (Romania: 48% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taranjeet Singhnot out 7 fours · 6 sixes | not out | 83* | 49 | 7 | 6 | 169.39 |
| Rohit Kumarcaught · Usman Khan · Rahimgul Naseri 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Usman Khan · b Rahimgul Naseri | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Irfan Ringkucaught · Jamshid Nasiri · Usman Khan 6 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Jamshid Nasiri · b Usman Khan | 55 | 41 | 6 | 3 | 134.15 |
| Md Ariyancaught · Rahimgul Naseri · Usman Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rahimgul Naseri · b Usman Khan | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| V Saininot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rahmatullah Mangal0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Rahimgul Naseri0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 9.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Dawood Ahmadzai0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.5 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 11.29 | 0 | 0 |
| Usman Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Noman Amjad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Jamshid Nasiri0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Kamran Ahmadzai0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-8 (Rohit Kumar, 2.0) · 2-135 (Irfan Ringku, 15.3) · 3-135 (Md Ariyan, 15.5)
Recorded target: 145 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 13 | 21/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 26/1 |
| 5 | 14 | 40/1 |
| 6 | 20 | 60/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 65/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 68/1 |
| 9 | 1 | 69/1 |
| 10 | 12 | 81/1 |
| 11 | 3 | 84/1 |
| 12 | 11 | 95/1 |
| 13 | 7 | 102/1 |
| 14 | 9 | 111/1 |
| 15 | 18 | 129/1 |
| 16 | 7 | 136/3 |
| 17 | 13 | 149/3 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.