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Women's T20 Quadrangular Series (in Uganda) · 2024/25 · Women
13 Mar 2025 · T20
Uganda more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Uganda started on 72%; Uganda batted first.
Uganda's chances ranged from 46% to 100% during the match (Nepal: 0% to 54%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samjhana Khadkacaught · Kevin Awino · Irene Mutonyi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kevin Awino · b Irene Mutonyi | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| I Barmacaught · Rita Musamali · Immaculate Nakisuuyi 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rita Musamali · b Immaculate Nakisuuyi | 11 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 91.67 |
| Puja Mahatobowled · Immaculate Nakisuuyi 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Immaculate Nakisuuyi | 7 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 38.89 |
 Rubina Chhetrirun out · E Iloku, Kevin Awino · Janet Mbabazi0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · E Iloku, Kevin Awino | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Mamta Chaudharycaught · Rita Musamali · Janet Mbabazi 0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Rita Musamali · b Janet Mbabazi |
| 0 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| S Praveenbowled · Immaculate Nakisuuyi 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Immaculate Nakisuuyi | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
 Kabita Joshicaught · Malisa Ariokot · Irene Mutonyi1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Malisa Ariokot · b Irene Mutonyi | 12 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 44.44 |
|---|
| AK Yadavcaught · Janet Mbabazi · Concy Aweko 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Janet Mbabazi · b Concy Aweko | 9 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 47.37 |
|---|
| I Bistcaught · Janet Mbabazi · Irene Mutonyi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Janet Mbabazi · b Irene Mutonyi | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| R Chaudharynot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Riya Sharmarun out · E Iloku, Kevin Awino · Rita Musamali 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · E Iloku, Kevin Awino | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 22.22 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irene Mutonyi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 3.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Concy Aweko0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Janet Mbabazi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Immaculate Nakisuuyi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 2.50 | 1 | 0 |
| S Akiteng1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Rita Musamali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Samjhana Khadka, 0.1) · 2-15 (I Barma, 3.1) · 3-17 (Rubina Chhetri, 4.1) · 4-17 (Mamta Chaudhary, 4.5) · 5-25 (S Praveen, 6.0) · 6-30 (Puja Mahato, 9.3) · 7-49 (Kabita Joshi, 14.4) · 8-49 (I Bist, 15.0) · 9-49 (AK Yadav, 15.1) · 10-51 (Riya Sharma, 17.1)
Recorded target: 92 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/1 |
| 2 | 7 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 15/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 17/2 |
| 5 | 2 | 19/4 |
| 6 | 6 | 25/5 |
| 7 | 2 | 27/5 |
| 8 | 1 | 28/5 |
| 9 | 0 | 28/5 |
| 10 | 2 | 30/6 |
| 11 | 2 | 32/6 |
| 12 | 1 | 33/6 |
| 13 | 8 | 41/6 |
| 14 | 5 | 46/6 |
| 15 | 3 | 49/8 |
| 16 | 1 | 50/9 |
| 17 | 1 | 51/9 |
| 18 | 0 | 51/10 |
Kabita Joshi: Surajthapa1207 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rubina Chhetri: Surajthapa1207 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
