Multan SultansversusLahore Qalandars

26 Apr 2025 · T20

Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Lahore Qalandars won by 5 wickets

Multan Sultans20.0 overs185/3 Lahore Qalandars19.0 overs186/5 Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Multan Sultans started on 52%; Multan Sultans batted first.

Multan Sultans’s chance of winning (%) · Lahore Qalandars is the rest

Multan Sultans's chances ranged from 0% to 79% during the match (Lahore Qalandars: 21% to 100%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 6.1: Mohammad Hasnain to Fakhar Zaman, Fakhar Zaman out. Multan Sultans up from 59% to 72%.
2nd inns 11.2: Ubaid Shah to Abdullah Shafique, Abdullah Shafique out. Multan Sultans up from 48% to 61%.
2nd inns 14.4: J Little to Sikandar Raza, six by Sikandar Raza. Lahore Qalandars up from 44% to 60%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.