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Photo: RIDHVAN SHARMA
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Ireland tour of Zimbabwe · 2024/25 · Men
23 Feb 2025 · T20
Harare Sports Club · Venue photographRecorded result
Zimbabwe more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Ireland started on 34%; Ireland batted first.
Ireland's chances ranged from 2% to 73% during the match (Zimbabwe: 27% to 98%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Bennettcaught · Gareth Delany · Craig Young 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gareth Delany · b Craig Young | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Tadiwanashe Marumanicaught · Ben White · Craig Young 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben White · b Craig Young | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Wesley Madheverecaught · Paul Stirling · Craig Young 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Paul Stirling · b Craig Young | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
 Sikandar Razacaught · Harry Tector · Ben White2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Tector · b Ben White | 22 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 81.48 |
| Ryan Burlcaught · Lorcan Tucker · Harry Tector 4 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Lorcan Tucker · b Harry Tector |
| 27 |
| 20 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 135.00 |
| Tony Munyonganot out 5 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 43* | 30 | 5 | 0 | 143.33 |
|---|
| Tashinga Musekiwacaught · Joshua Little · Craig Young 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joshua Little · b Craig Young | 15 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 136.36 |
|---|
| Wellington Masakadzacaught · Gareth Delany · Joshua Little 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gareth Delany · b Joshua Little | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Richard Ngaravanot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 7 | 2 | 0 | 171.43 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Hume1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 7.80 | 1 | 0 |
| Craig Young0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 4 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Curtis Campher0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Joshua Little0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Ben White0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Harry Tector0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Gareth Delany0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-8 (Tadiwanashe Marumani, 1.1) · 2-11 (Wesley Madhevere, 1.4) · 3-14 (Brian Bennett, 3.2) · 4-62 (Ryan Burl, 9.4) · 5-64 (Sikandar Raza, 10.3) · 6-97 (Tashinga Musekiwa, 14.1) · 7-112 (Wellington Masakadza, 17.0)
Recorded target: 138 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 14/2 |
| 3 | 0 | 14/2 |
| 4 | 3 | 17/3 |
| 5 | 10 | 27/3 |
| 6 | 10 | 37/3 |
| 7 | 6 | 43/3 |
| 8 | 8 | 51/3 |
| 9 | 7 | 58/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 63/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 67/5 |
| 12 | 9 | 76/5 |
| 13 | 10 | 86/5 |
| 14 | 11 | 97/5 |
| 15 | 4 | 101/6 |
| 16 | 6 | 107/6 |
| 17 | 5 | 112/7 |
| 18 | 13 | 125/7 |
| 19 | 11 | 136/7 |
| 20 | 5 | 141/7 |
Harry Tector: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Paul Stirling: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
George Dockrell: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
